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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Oilers scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 3:11 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 1.3; shots on goal were EDM 19, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 19 (.947). Three stars: 1. Evan Rodrigues (2 G), 2. Anton Lundell (2 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Rodrigues2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1403012119
FLAFLA0911337429

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(5)
    C. McDavid (27), E. Bouchard (22)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:17

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Mikkola(2)
    A. Lundell (10), V. Tarasenko (4)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:34

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.08win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:11
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(6)PPG
    A. Lundell (11), O. Ekman-Larsson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:26
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(1)EN
    S. Bennett (6)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:32

Penalties

EDM 45 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:10FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 9:21EDMWarren Foegele · Kneeingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen5 min
  • 9:21EDMWarren Foegele · Game misconduct10 min
  • 10:58FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 19:13EDMEvan Bouchard · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 0:41FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Hookingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 13:55FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:20EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 10:32EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 13:14EDMEvander Kane · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 13:14FLABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 15:06FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:01EDMSam Carrick · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 18:01EDMSam Carrick · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:01EDMVincent Desharnais · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 3rd 3:11 — FLA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.49S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.15S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.12K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.08A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.08E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · Goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
1.31 G
All situations
3 G2.9
0.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM27%73%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
19
Shots on goal
29
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/6
45
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
37
19
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011-120.10224—30:40
97C. McDavidC011+130.281003325:59
14M. EkholmD101030.08150—24:54
29L. DraisaitlC000020.411025023:11
18Z. HymanL000-110.04300—22:16
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.134005022:00
27B. KulakD000-150.08000—18:10
86P. BrobergD000000.10140—17:12
73V. DesharnaisD000-130.021310—15:59
19A. HenriqueC000-100.001002015:39
13M. JanmarkC000000.00200013:55
28C. BrownR000-200.01300—12:57
55D. HollowayL000000.00600—12:34
91E. KaneL000-300.0001210010:33
71R. McLeodC000-200.001202909:03
39S. CarrickC000000.0021126707:31
25D. NurseD000000.00010—04:20
37W. FoegeleL000000.001015—01:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)28253.8932.41-0.5956:20

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).