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Panthers at Oilers
NHL

Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 9:12 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 23, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A), 3. Philip Broberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    P. Broberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1103805423
EDMEDM01311626335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)
    G. Forsling (8), A. Barkov (14)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:58

2nd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele(2)
    A. Henrique (3)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:49
  2. FLA
    V. Tarasenko(4)
    E. Luostarinen (6), A. Lundell (12)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:12
  3. FLA
    S. Bennett(7)
    M. Tkachuk (15)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:57
  4. FLA
    A. Barkov(7)
    E. Rodrigues (6), S. Reinhart (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:31

3rd period

  1. EDM
    P. Broberg(2)
    C. McDavid (28), D. Nurse (4)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-2
    6:02
  2. EDM
    R. McLeod(2)
    B. Kulak (5), C. McDavid (29)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:43

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:30EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 9:55FLAAleksander Barkov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:46FLABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 18:31EDMBrett Kulak · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:31FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 18:08FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:08EDMCorey Perry · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 19:39FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 2nd 9:12 — FLA 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.25C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.24C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.21Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.34 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA29%71%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
6
33
Hits
37
13
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011+100.41420—28:41
5A. EkbladD000+120.03242—24:30
62B. MontourD000-110.02402—21:09
16A. BarkovC112+210.472126320:06
13S. ReinhartC112+220.400002219:51
77N. MikkolaD000-100.00300—19:43
9S. BennettC101-220.413026917:33
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.00100017:18
23C. VerhaegheC000-320.35000017:06
19M. TkachukL011-220.04102—17:02
17E. RodriguesC011+220.07130015:17
15A. LundellC011+110.100104213:39
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+200.08210—12:32
7D. KulikovD000000.00010—11:34
10V. TarasenkoR101+140.59100—11:13
82K. StenlundC000000.022004010:53
8K. OkposoR000030.06500—06:26
18S. LorentzC000010.012006705:27
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)35323.9143.84+0.8460:00

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).