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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Ekman-Larsson's goal at 4:04 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 9% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 24, FLA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11031014524
FLAFLA06216110332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. Brown(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:30

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(15)PPG
    E. Bouchard (24), C. McDavid (33)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:58
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(7)
    W. Foegele (4), E. Bouchard (25)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:00
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(6)
    E. Rodrigues (7)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:53
  4. EDM
    C. Perry(1)PPG
    C. McDavid (34), E. Bouchard (26)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:54
  5. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(7)
    B. Montour (8), S. Bennett (7)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:08

3rd period

  1. FLA
    O. Ekman-Larsson(2)
    M. Tkachuk (16)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:04
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(8)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:41

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:47EDMBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 9:04FLAAleksander Barkov · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 10:07EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 20:00FLANiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 10:02FLAKyle Okposo · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 13:35FLAEvan Rodrigues · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:26EDMZach Hyman · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 6:19EDMDylan Holloway · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 6:19FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Embellishment2 min
  • 12:28FLADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, 3rd 4:04 — FLA 9% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.59M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.21E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.17A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.13K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.09O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.00N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.0
0.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM24%76%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
32
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
16
Hits
44
24
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD033+100.00120—26:14
97C. McDavidC224+220.531103024:37
18Z. HymanL101+230.37302—24:06
29L. DraisaitlC000010.070004022:19
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-140.30102021:32
14M. EkholmD000+110.00030—19:58
25D. NurseD000030.10050—17:28
5C. CeciD000-110.02040—17:17
86P. BrobergD000000.00040—17:00
27B. KulakD000-110.02102—15:05
19A. HenriqueC000-120.110204014:06
13M. JanmarkC000010.51110013:50
28C. BrownR101010.29010—13:12
37W. FoegeleL011+100.00100—12:59
71R. McLeodC000-100.0000010008:52
55D. HollowayL000-110.02312—08:26
10D. RyanC000-110.034004307:53
90C. PerryR101-120.16000—07:07
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)32293.9063.01+0.0159:59

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).