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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
0
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 2:16 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 32, FLA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 17 (.882), 0.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Evan Rodrigues (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    E. Rodrigues1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01201307032
FLAFLA141816318

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(10)
    A. Barkov (12), S. Reinhart (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:59

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(4)
    S. Bennett (5), B. Montour (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:16

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(2)EN
    A. Barkov (13)
    wristxG 0.47Video
    0-3
    19:55

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:33EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 14:53FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:51FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 10:24FLAKevin Stenlund · Roughingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min
  • 10:24FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 10:24EDMConnor Brown · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 10:24EDMMattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 10:38FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 6:47EDMCorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 2nd 2:16 — FLA 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.47A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.20C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.08K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 1.9 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
3.50 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.60 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM83%17%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
18
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
32
Hits
57
15
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000-140.33100—27:17
97C. McDavidC000-260.630103325:19
18Z. HymanL000-230.57100—23:39
29L. DraisaitlC000-140.623104823:14
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-220.311006019:30
14M. EkholmD000-120.15322—18:57
86P. BrobergD000010.03020—17:55
5C. CeciD000-210.01430—17:19
27B. KulakD000000.00000—17:06
25D. NurseD000-200.00420—16:09
91E. KaneL000-100.00200—15:22
19A. HenriqueC000010.367202712:21
55D. HollowayL000020.06400—11:44
13M. JanmarkC000010.15112011:31
71R. McLeodC000-110.050005011:31
37W. FoegeleL000030.25100—10:23
28C. BrownR000000.00012—10:10
90C. PerryR000-110.02002—08:45
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)17152.8821.48-0.5257:48

Series

FLA leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).