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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Vancouver Canucks
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nils Hoglander's goal at 19:11 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 40, VAN 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (38 saves, .950), 2. Tyler Myers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Quinn Hughes (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Myers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY08010222240
VANVAN280729424

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Hamonic(3)
    T. Graovac (1), Q. Hughes (38)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:43
  2. VAN
    N. Hoglander(13)
    T. Myers (14), B. Horvat (20)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:11

3rd period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers(6)
    B. Boeser (24), J. Miller (31)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    9:28
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(17)
    M. Lucic (13), A. Ruzicka (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    1-3
    16:38
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(14)
    J. Gaudreau (28), M. Giordano (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    2-3
    19:00
  4. VAN
    B. Boeser(23)EN
    T. Hamonic (7)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:41

Penalties

CGY 11 PIM·VAN 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:45VANTravis Hamonic · Holdingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 7:46CGYNikita Nesterov · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 10:29CGYConnor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Bo Horvat5 min
  • 10:29VANBo Horvat · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min
  • 16:51CGYBrett Ritchie · Interferencedrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 17:03VANAlexander Edler · High stickingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 2:32VANWilliam Lockwood · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 9:45CGYDerek Ryan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Nils Hoglander, 1st 19:11 — VAN 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.33N. Hoglander · Goal · xG 0.17J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.14T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.11T. Hamonic · Goal · xG 0.10T. Graovac · On goal · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Graovac · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rathbone · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01W. Lockwood · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01
VAN4 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
3.72 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY82%18%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
40
Shots on goal
24
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
8
8
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011+140.11110—24:22
4R. AnderssonD000-340.20030—21:25
8C. TanevD000+110.02010—21:21
11M. BacklundC000-120.190004520:07
13J. GaudreauL011-160.40000—19:55
28E. LindholmC000030.150005918:36
26M. StoneD000010.03110—18:25
88A. MangiapaneL101+230.59300—18:05
89N. NesterovD000-300.01002—17:37
19M. TkachukL101-120.26200—17:35
20J. NordstromC000030.23110015:20
29D. DubeC000-230.43000014:11
3C. MackeyD000000.00505—13:58
10D. RyanC000-210.220027313:18
17M. LucicL011-130.19200—13:07
63A. RuzickaC011+110.260004410:14
24B. RitchieR000010.29212—09:21
81D. SimonC000-120.11000009:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(L)23203.8701.64-1.3657:42

Season series

CGY leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).