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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV NHLN, CBC·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Myers's goal at 14:49 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 19, VAN 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (43 saves, .956), 3. Brock Boeser.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom43 saves, .956
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY041807119
VANVAN020115211346

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    9:27
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    10:42

3rd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +38 pts
    1-2
    14:49
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    18:37

Penalties

CGY 2 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:58VANAlexander Edler · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 7:00CGYDillon Dube · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 14:34VANAlexander Edler · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 17:38VANTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Myers, 3rd 14:49 — VAN 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Sutter · Goal · xG 0.55Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.25B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.25B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.25A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.23B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.20A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.20B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.20B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.19E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.18E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.17L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.12T. Myers · Goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Beagle · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.00A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 4.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
2.01 G
All situations
2 G4.9
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G3.8
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY16%84%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 4.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
19
Shots on goal
46
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
19
19
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19M. TkachukL000-130.2341010022:34
28E. LindholmC000020.222105022:11
29D. DubeC000020.0220210021:48
4R. AnderssonD011-110.06020—21:47
55N. HanifinD000-120.04030—21:10
5M. GiordanoD000010.04010—20:47
8C. TanevD000000.00100—20:43
13J. GaudreauL011000.01010—18:21
23S. MonahanC000-130.530004818:20
88A. MangiapaneL000-110.36130—17:33
93S. BennettC101030.392202916:56
6J. VälimäkiD000-110.06000—15:30
17M. LucicL000-100.024105015:01
3C. MackeyD000-100.04000—13:56
27J. LeivoL000-300.000005011:45
38B. FroeseC000000.002203309:03
20J. NordstromC000000.00220007:27
11M. BacklundC000000.000005004:27
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)45432.9564.39+2.3958:41

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).