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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

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Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Canucks scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 13:30 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 27, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.8 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G, 1 A), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1160318227
CGYCGY0432028532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:17

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    12:05
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.20win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    13:30
  3. CGY
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    19:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    6:40
  2. VAN
    T. Myers(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    13:15
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.53
    2-5
    19:05

Penalties

VAN 14 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:32CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Adam Gaudette2 min
  • 17:16CGYJuuso Välimäki · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 19:55VANBrock Boeser · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:55CGYMilan Lucic · Trippingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 7:07VANElias Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 15:18VANAdam Gaudette · Cross checkingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 18:14VANElias Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 18:57VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 4:59VANAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 12:29VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 16:56CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 13:30 — CGY 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.53S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.33D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.23M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.20E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.16S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.10M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.10J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.05R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 4.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
2.42 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
1.40 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN38%62%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
27
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
10
12
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD101+110.09142—23:49
43Q. HughesD000-230.14002—21:56
88N. SchmidtD000-110.05010—21:43
23A. EdlerD000010.01100—20:48
6B. BoeserR000000.11102—19:23
40E. PetterssonC000+120.25014018:59
9J. MillerC011000.191005018:31
53B. HorvatC000010.240005916:38
70T. PearsonL000020.04200—16:37
27T. HamonicD000-110.02020—16:34
64T. MotteC000010.05310015:23
83J. BeagleC000-110.080104614:18
20B. SutterC000-120.02000013:03
36N. HoglanderL000-110.17010—12:46
26A. RousselL000010.06202—11:44
96A. GaudetteR000-250.830025010:48
18J. VirtanenR101-120.03200—09:23
48O. JuoleviD000+120.04110—07:55
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)31274.8713.16-0.8456:17

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).