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Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV SNP, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 18:28 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were VAN 33, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Boeser (1 G, 2 A), 3. Braden Holtby (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Holtby35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN18315110533
CGYCGY08113015136

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:46

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    7:37
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    18:13
  3. VAN
    slapxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    18:28
  4. VAN
    slapxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    19:05

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    5:54

Penalties

VAN 4 PIM·CGY 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:17CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:29VANJake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

3rd

  • 12:07VANJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 2nd 18:28 — VAN 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.19J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.18M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.17M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.14B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.14S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.12J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Nesterov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.00M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 3.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
2.65 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.35 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN43%57%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
36
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. MyersD011+110.03010—22:02
88N. SchmidtD101+130.22000—21:59
23A. EdlerD000+210.00130—21:28
48O. JuoleviD000+100.00320—18:59
43Q. HughesD011+220.19000—18:01
20B. SutterC000040.181109116:35
26A. RousselL000000.05110—16:19
8J. BennD101+120.08110—16:08
53B. HorvatC112+130.353005015:59
36N. HoglanderL022+130.07000—15:51
70T. PearsonL000+130.32200—15:49
9J. MillerC112+320.140027515:34
96A. GaudetteR000040.32020—14:51
83J. BeagleC000010.191106314:07
40E. PetterssonC011+310.210102513:57
6B. BoeserR123+330.18000—13:39
21L. ErikssonL000000.00000—12:51
18J. VirtanenR000000.0510210011:51
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
49B. Holtby(W)36351.9722.96+1.9660:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).