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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV ESPN+, NHLN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-5 in overtime, Elias Lindholm scoring at 3:24. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 3:24 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.5, VAN 3.4; shots on goal were CGY 36, VAN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.6 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (2 G), 3. Quinn Hughes (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY1114160811636
VANVAN061841803535

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:30

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:48
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:17
  3. CGY
    D. Dube (10), M. Backlund (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    8:05
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    13:21
  5. CGY
    slapxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    14:03

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (21), Q. Hughes (28)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    2:30
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(17)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    5-3
    7:47
  3. VAN
    J. Miller(10)SHG
    slapxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    5-4
    11:28
  4. VAN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +42 pts
    5-5
    17:58

Overtime

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 pts
    6-5
    3:24

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·VAN 29 PIM

1st

  • 5:15VANNils Hoglander · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 12:50CGYAdam Ruzicka · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Graovac2 min

2nd

  • 6:20CGYConnor Mackey · Boardingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 6:20CGYConnor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min
  • 6:20VANJonah Gadjovich · Instigatordrawn by Connor Mackey2 min
  • 6:20VANJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min
  • 6:20VANJonah Gadjovich · Instigator misconductdrawn by Connor Mackey10 min
  • 14:20VANBrock Boeser · High sticking double minordrawn by Mikael Backlund4 min
  • 18:21VANAlexander Edler · Slashingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min

3rd

  • 0:59CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 4:01VANNils Hoglander · Trippingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min
  • 6:29CGYConnor Mackey · Slashingdrawn by Travis Boyd2 min
  • 10:41VANBo Horvat · High stickingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 14:08CGYDillon Dube · Slashingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, OT 3:24 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Graovac · On goal · xG 0.38J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.18N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.16J. Hawryluk · Missed · xG 0.15T. Graovac · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hawryluk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.09T. Graovac · Goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hamonic · Goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN5 G · 3.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
3.56 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.26 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
1.40 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY52%48%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.50 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
36
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/6
Power play
2/4
15
Penalty minutes
29
13
Hits
8
14
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000070.18240—27:00
28E. LindholmC112-110.090104424:19
13J. GaudreauL022-120.23000—21:04
19M. TkachukL101-230.45000—20:55
4R. AnderssonD000+230.22010—20:10
8C. TanevD000000.03030—20:02
11M. BacklundC022+140.441025619:10
6J. VälimäkiD011+210.23100—18:38
10D. RyanC000+110.280104616:51
26M. StoneD011+110.05230—16:01
88A. MangiapaneL202+230.27110—15:45
3C. MackeyD011+110.02009—14:20
27J. LeivoL112+210.10100—13:53
29D. DubeC011+240.35002013:32
17M. LucicL101+110.162005013:18
24B. RitchieR000020.17000—09:54
63A. RuzickaC000+110.261026009:46
81D. SimonC000+100.00200008:45
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)35305.8573.39-1.6163:24

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).