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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SN, SN360·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 5:58 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 73% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 26, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G), 2. Nils Hoglander, 3. Jacob Markstrom (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    N. Hoglander
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1816112326
VANVAN014110010134

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    18:35

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:31
  2. CGY
    slapxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    14:31

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.23win prob +20 pts
    3-1
    5:58

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:40CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 16:34VANJustin Bailey · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 2:47CGYChris Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 12:30VANBo Horvat · Slashingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 17:05CGYJuuso Välimäki · Hookingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 19:10VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 19:10CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

3rd

  • 3:48CGYSean Monahan · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 8:32VANElias Pettersson · Delaying game face off violation2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 3rd 5:58 — CGY 73% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.21T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.19B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.18A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.17B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.11A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.09B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
2.43 G
All situations
1 G3.2
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY37%63%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
26
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
5
12
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000+120.03010—22:00
28E. LindholmC011+230.201005221:28
8C. TanevD000+100.03122—21:24
4R. AnderssonD000000.00212—20:43
5M. GiordanoD112+220.05220—19:49
13J. GaudreauL101+220.30000—19:31
23S. MonahanC022+220.201027518:37
88A. MangiapaneL101040.72002—18:28
19M. TkachukL000+130.36200—17:20
6J. VälimäkiD011010.01212—17:20
11M. BacklundC000020.121007117:18
89N. NesterovD000-110.07000—13:36
17M. LucicL000000.00300—13:32
93S. BennettC000020.332005011:51
20J. NordstromC000000.00120011:22
27J. LeivoL000010.01100—09:27
38B. FroeseC000010.022104008:58
29D. DubeC000000.00000007:16
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)34331.9713.20+2.2060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).