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Flames at Canucks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Vancouver Canucks
3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Johnny Gaudreau scoring at 0:23. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 0:23 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.3, VAN 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 27, VAN 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (2 A), 2. Brock Boeser (1 G, 1 A), 3. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY182120611427
VANVAN2701011600333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    T. Pearson(5)PPG
    Q. Hughes (17), T. Myers (6)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    3:51
  2. VAN
    B. Horvat(7)PPG
    B. Boeser (7), J. Miller (11)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    14:44
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(4)
    R. Andersson (6), C. Mackey (1)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:35

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(5)
    R. Andersson (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:40
  2. CGY
    D. Dube(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    15:51

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(11)SHG
    T. Myers (7), E. Pettersson (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +48 pts
    3-3
    19:29

Overtime

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(9)PPG
    S. Monahan (10), E. Lindholm (11)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    0:23

Penalties

CGY 14 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:51CGYDillon Dube · Hookingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 7:54CGYConnor Mackey · Cross checkingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 13:17CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Interferencedrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 14:23CGYConnor Mackey · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 3:36VANNate Schmidt · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:29VANJay Beagle · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:32CGYElias Lindholm · Elbowingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

3rd

  • 5:49CGYConnor Mackey · Hookingdrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min
  • 5:49CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 5:49VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:39VANTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:38VANQuinn Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, OT 0:23 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.26J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.15N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.14B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.09A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.08A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.08O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.08J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.06A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05O. Juolevi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03O. Juolevi · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.00B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
2.34 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.23 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.60 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY49%51%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/4
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
15
13
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. TanevD000-100.00120—21:39
88A. MangiapaneL000020.13310—21:30
23S. MonahanC011-140.300003321:05
6J. VälimäkiD000+100.00020—20:43
28E. LindholmC112020.101024420:39
5M. GiordanoD000010.00140—20:10
13J. GaudreauL101070.61012—19:48
4R. AnderssonD022+210.12120—19:31
19M. TkachukL000+130.41202—18:49
55N. HanifinD000010.02000—18:17
3C. MackeyD011+210.02006—14:27
93S. BennettC000+220.171004513:19
81D. SimonC000000.00210013:10
29D. DubeC101+220.23202012:47
17M. LucicL101+210.13300—11:56
38B. FroeseC000000.000003309:50
20J. NordstromC000000.09200009:08
53B. RobinsonR000000.01100—03:17
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)33303.9092.38-0.6260:23

Season series

CGY leads 7-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).