Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 19, BOS 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (3 G), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Sean Kuraly (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-11:21
1-112:35
1-216:38
2nd period
1-35:36
3rd period
1-43:18
1-55:31
2-57:02
2-614:05
Penalties
1st
- 10:28
Riley Sheahan · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
- 12:27
Mattias Samuelsson · Trippingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
2nd
- 8:34
Sean Kuraly · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
- 19:09
Dylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Kevan Miller2 min
3rd
- 7:45
Rasmus Dahlin · Cross checkingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 7:45
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
- 7:45
David Pastrnak · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min
- 13:39
Will Borgen · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 5:36 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.42 G
- All situations
- 6 G3.3
- 1.11 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 3.26
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 43
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 25
- Hits
- 31
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 10
- Giveaways
- 7
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















