Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Okposo's goal at 1:54 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 34% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 37, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Carter Hutton stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Jake DeBrusk (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Krejci3 A

- ★★★J. DeBrusk1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-02:56
2nd period
1-11:54
2-19:15
3-118:36
3rd period
4-14:44
Penalties
2nd
- 0:25
Cody Eakin · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 7:35
Matt Irwin · High stickingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
- 9:37
Oskar Steen · Holding the stickdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
3rd
- 2:59
Victor Olofsson · Holdingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
- 4:13
Brandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 10:31
Eric Staal · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kyle Okposo, 2nd 1:54 — 34% → 52%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.64 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.0
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.6
- 1.02 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 2/5
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 11
- Hits
- 13
- 8
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 4
- Giveaways
- 5
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
