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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸4
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 18:36 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 37, BUF 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Carter Hutton stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. David Krejci (3 A), 3. Jake DeBrusk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Krejci3 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS111215111437
BUFBUF071908124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    G. McKegg(1)
    M. Grzelcyk (8)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:56

2nd period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(1)SHG
    J. Bryson (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    1:54
  2. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(3)PPG
    D. Pastrnak (12), D. Krejci (13)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    9:15
  3. BOS
    C. Smith(5)
    D. Krejci (14), C. Clifton (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    18:36

3rd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(14)PPG
    D. Krejci (15), B. Marchand (22)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    4:44

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·BUF 10 PIM

2nd

  • 0:25BUFCody Eakin · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 7:35BUFMatt Irwin · High stickingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 9:37BOSOskar Steen · Holding the stickdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

3rd

  • 2:59BUFVictor Olofsson · Holdingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
  • 4:13BUFBrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 10:31BUFEric Staal · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2nd 18:36 — BOS 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.25T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.18C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.16C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.09R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 2.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.64 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS61%39%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
37
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/5
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
13
8
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+100.00010—23:07
48M. GrzelcykD011060.07010—21:02
88D. PastrnakR112-160.52000—20:57
37P. BergeronC000-140.472005620:13
63B. MarchandL011010.26010—19:38
74J. DeBruskL101030.21110—19:20
67J. ZborilD000+100.00100—18:04
54J. AhcanD000030.10120—17:55
13C. CoyleC000010.090105017:50
21N. RitchieL000030.20100—16:49
46D. KrejciC033+120.050007516:49
44S. KampferD000000.04110—16:08
75C. CliftonD011+100.00300—16:04
62O. SteenC000030.10002014:00
12C. SmithC101030.34000013:33
83K. KuhlmanC000+110.04000010:55
18G. McKeggC101+110.121007310:20
11T. FredericC000+100.00000005:28
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(W)24231.9582.02+1.0259:48

Season series

BOS leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).