Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the Boston Bruins 6-4. The Bruins scored first; the Sabres answered. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Dahlin's goal at 6:54 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 40, BUF 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (3 G), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (36 saves, .900).
Three stars
- ★S. Reinhart3 G

- ★★R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A

- ★★★U. Luukkonen36 saves, .900

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
1-02:15
1-115:40
2nd period
1-26:54
1-314:17
3rd period
1-41:14
1-54:30
2-512:06
3-515:25
4-517:12
4-619:18
Penalties
1st
- 15:23
Matt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Arttu Ruotsalainen2 min
- 17:59
Arttu Ruotsalainen · Slashingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
2nd
- 8:55
Matt Grzelcyk · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 18:32
Dylan Cozens · Embellishmentdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
- 18:32
Craig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
3rd
- 4:21
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Rasmus Dahlin, 2nd 6:54 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.14 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.4
- 2.84 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.3
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 2.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 40
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 2/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 9
- Hits
- 13
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 8
- Giveaways
- 3
- 1
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
