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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Boston Bruins
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Sabres scored first; the Bruins answered. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 16:10 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 27, BOS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected; Dan Vladar stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (1 G), 2. Charlie McAvoy (1 A), 3. Nick Ritchie (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    N. Ritchie1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF11011403227
BOSBOS01318215336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(12)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    2:01

2nd period

  1. BOS
    M. Grzelcyk(2)
    D. Pastrnak (13), P. Bergeron (16)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:41
  2. BUF
    K. Okposo(2)
    S. Fogarty (1), H. Jokiharju (2)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    N. Ritchie(9)
    C. McAvoy (17), J. Zboril (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:22
  2. BOS
    C. Smith(6)
    D. Krejci (17), N. Ritchie (8)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    16:10

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:16BOSConnor Clifton · Elbowingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 4:06BUFBrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Zach Senyshyn2 min
  • 14:59BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 18:54BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

2nd

  • 7:15BOSCharlie Coyle · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 15:00BUFJean-Sebastien Dea · High stickingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

3rd

  • 9:38BUFBrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 19:35BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 3rd 16:10 — BOS 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.25T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.16P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.15N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.12J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Senyshyn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Goal · xG 0.03S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zboril · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.21 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF33%67%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-120.01212—22:17
26R. DahlinD000020.07300—21:29
62B. MontourD000-110.04014—19:47
23S. ReinhartC101-120.07000019:16
4T. HallL000-120.030005018:27
78J. BrysonD000-100.01000—18:22
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.210021117:40
33C. MillerD000-120.06110—17:36
68V. OlofssonL000020.17010—17:00
27C. LazarC000020.032003316:54
10H. JokiharjuD011030.06210—16:17
21K. OkposoR101010.09230—16:02
53J. SkinnerL000020.18000—15:09
15R. SheahanC000000.001205014:55
20C. EakinC000-110.052003014:24
24D. CozensC000000.040008912:48
17S. FogartyC011-110.01010009:21
38J. DeaC000-120.24002005:33
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)36333.9172.21-0.7958:05

Season series

BOS leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).