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Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Clifton's goal at 3:03 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.9, BUF 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 41, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Dustin Tokarski stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. David Pastrnak (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS19118014241
BUFBUF0906017032

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:06

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:03

Penalties

BOS 12 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:17BOSJake DeBrusk · Hookingdrawn by Anders Bjork2 min

2nd

  • 11:04BOSBrad Marchand · Elbowingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
  • 12:10BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

3rd

  • 1:05BUFDrake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 8:03BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 8:30BUFSam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 12:41BOSCraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 16:59BOSNick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
  • 17:26BOSJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
  • 19:06BUFserved by J. Skinner · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Connor Clifton, 2nd 3:03 — BOS 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.39D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.17C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.17C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.14R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.12R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.08R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ruotsalainen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bjork · Missed · xG 0.01C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
2.92 G
All situations
0 G2.7
2.42 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS52%48%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
41
Shots on goal
32
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/4
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
9
11
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000040.20012—25:01
75C. CliftonD101+220.03310—21:09
6M. ReillyD011+120.02010—21:06
48M. GrzelcykD000020.04020—21:06
63B. MarchandL101+140.45002—16:48
55J. LauzonD000010.02022—16:39
37P. BergeronC000+110.070006316:37
46D. KrejciC000000.000005015:29
71T. HallL000060.32100—15:15
88D. PastrnakR011+150.45200—14:29
12C. SmithC000020.0800210014:00
13C. CoyleC000010.080006713:58
20C. LazarC011+110.111108313:52
52S. KuralyC011+120.221004313:22
74J. DeBruskL000070.55102—13:15
67J. ZborilD000+100.00120—12:19
14C. WagnerR000+110.17300—11:56
21N. RitchieL000000.03212—11:39
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)323201.0002.75+2.7560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).