Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Clifton's goal at 3:03 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.9, BUF 2.7; shots on goal were BOS 41, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Dustin Tokarski stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G), 3. David Pastrnak (1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Rask32 saves, 1.000

- ★★B. Marchand1 G

- ★★★D. Pastrnak1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
2 goals1st period
1-08:06
2nd period
2-03:03
Penalties
1st
- 11:17
Jake DeBrusk · Hookingdrawn by Anders Bjork2 min
2nd
- 11:04
Brad Marchand · Elbowingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
- 12:10
Rasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
3rd
- 1:05
Drake Caggiula · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 8:03
Charlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
- 8:30
Sam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
- 12:41
Craig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
- 16:59
Nick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
- 17:26
Jeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
- 19:06
served by J. Skinner · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor Clifton, 2nd 3:03 — 63% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.92 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.7
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.7
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.65
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 41
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 15
- Hits
- 9
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 7
- Giveaways
- 7
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






