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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
1
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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Grzelcyk's goal at 12:50 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were BOS 38, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Dustin Tokarski stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS114112312538
BUFBUF07113010130

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    B. Marchand(25)
    P. Bergeron (23), M. Reilly (23)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:36

2nd period

  1. BUF
    A. Ruotsalainen(3)
    A. Bjork (6), D. Cozens (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    5:27
  2. BOS
    M. Grzelcyk(4)
    C. McAvoy (20), D. Pastrnak (23)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:50

3rd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(18)
    B. Marchand (32), M. Grzelcyk (11)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    4:55
  2. BOS
    N. Ritchie(11)
    J. DeBrusk (6), C. Coyle (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    6:01
  3. BOS
    D. Krejci(6)
    J. Lauzon (6), T. Hall (19)
    wristxG 0.23
    5-1
    18:02

Penalties

BOS 12 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:13BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Boardingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 14:25BOSCharlie McAvoy · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 18:18BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 18:18BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

2nd

  • 1:49BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Holdingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min
  • 5:48BOSDavid Pastrnak · Boardingdrawn by Jacob Bryson2 min
  • 8:56BOSSteven Kampfer · Interferencedrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 13:11BOSPatrice Bergeron · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 16:26BOSCharlie McAvoy · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Asplund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Grzelcyk, 2nd 12:50 — BOS 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.29J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.14R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ruotsalainen · Goal · xG 0.10R. Asplund · Missed · xG 0.10R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.05H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.01T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
1.95 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.55 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS44%56%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
38
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55J. LauzonD011+120.05330—21:12
73C. McAvoyD011+110.03024—20:50
6M. ReillyD011+120.02100—19:04
48M. GrzelcykD112+210.01200—19:02
75C. CliftonD000+100.00300—18:20
44S. KampferD000+220.05022—18:03
13C. CoyleC011+110.050006917:16
63B. MarchandL112+310.22002—16:53
20C. LazarC000-120.181104315:30
37P. BergeronC011+350.151223314:52
71T. HallL011+140.27000—14:49
52S. KuralyC000-130.063105014:48
88D. PastrnakR112+330.18002—13:48
12C. SmithC000+130.21000013:30
46D. KrejciC101+140.330005813:11
14C. WagnerR000-110.01200—12:57
74J. DeBruskL011+110.02010—12:56
21N. RitchieL101+120.07100—11:00
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)30291.9672.21+1.2159:59

Season series

BOS leads 7-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).