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Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV TSN2, TSN3·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Byron's goal at 15:14 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 14% to 31%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.5, MTL 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 27, MTL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Jake Allen stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (36 saves, .947), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 A), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG3906112427
MTLMTL11811109238

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:18
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    1:40
  3. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    8:03
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    13:07

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    15:14

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(13)EN
    wristxG 0.41win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:22

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:43WPGAdam Lowry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:47WPGAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 7:36MTLJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by Nate Thompson2 min
  • 11:36WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 11:36MTLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 18:26MTLNick Suzuki · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

3rd

  • 15:48MTLNick Suzuki · High stickingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Byron, 2nd 15:14 — MTL 14% → 31%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.21N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 2.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG47%53%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
15
18
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD101020.10230—25:01
3T. PoolmanD000+140.07410—22:18
4N. PionkD011+210.02110—20:33
24D. ForbortD011+200.01010—20:21
55M. ScheifeleC011+110.100105018:29
22M. AppletonC011000.01100018:28
81K. ConnorL022+120.14000—17:44
9A. CoppC101+130.571223816:53
25P. StastnyC000030.2200010015:39
13P. DuboisC000000.220001115:27
27N. EhlersL101040.38000—15:24
17A. LowryC000+110.033126214:50
2D. DeMeloD000-100.00010—14:35
64L. StanleyD011010.04112—13:34
85M. PerreaultC011+110.42200013:19
23T. LewisC101+120.113006711:29
11N. ThompsonC000000.002001111:23
12J. HarkinsC000020.05100008:50
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)38362.9472.30+0.3059:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).