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Canadiens at Jets
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalTV ESPN+, TSN2·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 19:13 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were MTL 31, WPG 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carey Price stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G), 3. Carey Price (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    T. Toffoli2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Price34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1621718431
WPGWPG013110113236

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Kotkaniemi(4)
    J. Drouin (17), J. Anderson (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:01

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(11)PPG
    T. Toffoli (9), N. Suzuki (13)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:33
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(13)PPG
    J. Morrissey (11), P. Stastny (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    8:08
  3. MTL
    T. Toffoli(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    19:13

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(14)PPG
    J. Morrissey (12), M. Scheifele (25)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    5:47
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(17)EN
    J. Edmundson (7)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:12

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:25MTLNick Suzuki · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 19:46WPGPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 4:09WPGNeal Pionk · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 7:25MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 8:38WPGAndrew Copp · Slashingdrawn by Xavier Ouellet2 min
  • 8:38MTLXavier Ouellet · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 8:38WPGMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 8:38MTLBrendan Gallagher · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 12:11WPGJosh Morrissey · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Brendan Gallagher0 min

3rd

  • 4:23MTLJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 19:13 — MTL 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.25P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.21K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.20P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.14N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.04T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
4.43 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.12 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
1.11 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
2/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
33
12
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000+100.11310—25:04
6S. WeberD000+210.01110—23:18
77B. KulakD000+120.07100—21:05
44J. EdmundsonD011+120.03112—20:20
14N. SuzukiC011+130.161124718:09
24P. DanaultC000+110.040005017:25
15J. KotkaniemiC101+120.300025316:41
92J. DrouinL011+210.21000—16:10
73T. ToffoliC213+261.8511010016:03
17J. AndersonR112+140.38010—15:53
40J. ArmiaR000010.03000—15:37
11B. GallagherR000+140.79102—15:05
90T. TatarL000010.22100—14:11
27A. RomanovD000+110.01320—13:53
61X. OuelletD000000.02322—13:12
41P. ByronL000010.0320010012:04
71J. EvansC000000.032201410:57
94C. PerryR000010.11200—10:51
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(W)36342.9442.98+0.9860:00

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).