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Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV TSN2, TSN3·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring at 4:29. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 4:29 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 27, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G), 2. Paul Stastny (2 G), 3. Jonathan Drouin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    P. Stastny2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG210051715427
MTLMTL0921311004336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler (17), N. Pionk (14)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:39
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:25

2nd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    9:53
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki (11), J. Drouin (12)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    16:53

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    3:39
  2. MTL
    J. Drouin (13), J. Petry (14)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +46 pts
    3-3
    18:36

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers (12), K. Connor (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    4:29

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 8:04WPGAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 14:27MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min

3rd

  • 5:59MTLShea Weber · Roughingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, OT 4:29 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.29T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.21T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.19P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · Goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.00J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG61%39%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
36
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
42
21
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD011+220.06410—24:38
55M. ScheifeleC011+200.150104422:55
25P. StastnyC202+230.400005022:47
44J. MorrisseyD000-110.04220—22:35
26B. WheelerR011+260.52100—22:30
3T. PoolmanD000000.03210—20:44
24D. ForbortD000+110.002110—20:34
27N. EhlersL011+130.18000—18:08
81K. ConnorL011+130.57000—17:28
9A. CoppC000-200.153125016:55
13P. DuboisC101+130.151103116:31
22M. AppletonC000-200.07110015:28
2D. DeMeloD000010.03200—15:23
17A. LowryC000-200.003105614:53
88N. BeaulieuD000000.01110—12:46
85M. PerreaultC101+110.24100010:37
11N. ThompsonC000+110.110002509:01
23T. LewisC000+120.08100007:45
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)36333.9172.23-0.7764:29

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).