Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Winnipeg Jets 7-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 7:03 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.3, MTL 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 29, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.5 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Gallagher (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tomas Tatar (3 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Gallagher2 G, 1 A

- ★★T. Toffoli1 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Tatar3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-115:29
2nd period
0-27:03
0-311:01
0-414:25
0-516:05
3rd period
0-64:20
0-78:20
1-711:14
Penalties
1st
- 10:45
Mathieu Perreault · High stickingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
3rd
- 10:01
Alexander Romanov · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
- 16:51
Phillip Danault · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 2nd 7:03 — 71% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.31 G
- All situations
- 7 G2.1
- 1.70 G
- Even strength
- 7 G2.1
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.12
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 17
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 24
- 6
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
WPG leads 6-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
