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Canadiens at Jets
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Final/OTTV TSN2, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 0:55. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 0:55 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 36, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carey Price stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917). Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derek Forbort (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Forbort1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL0111721701336
WPGWPG2111801011430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(8)
    D. Forbort (6), P. Stastny (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:50
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(15)
    P. Dubois (4), N. Ehlers (16)
    slapxG 0.30win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:46

2nd period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(2)
    B. Gallagher (7), T. Tatar (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    1:26
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(16)
    P. Dubois (5), J. Morrissey (13)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:42

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(11)
    P. Danault (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    5:58
  2. MTL
    T. Toffoli(18)
    C. Perry (6), J. Drouin (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:35

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(15)
    P. Dubois (6)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:55

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:38MTLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:04WPGAdam Lowry · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 18:33WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min

2nd

  • 14:35MTLJosh Anderson · Chargingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMTL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 0:55 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.32K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.30N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.26K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.05N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsWPG
2.93 G
All situations
4 G2.4
2.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL58%42%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsWPG
36
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
24
7
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD000+140.13210—25:11
44J. EdmundsonD000-110.04300—24:09
26J. PetryD000030.26120—22:31
17J. AndersonR000000.14112—18:50
92J. DrouinL011-120.14000—18:29
77B. KulakD000+130.29000—18:11
15J. KotkaniemiC000-110.010104417:36
24P. DanaultC112+210.131005017:20
14N. SuzukiC000-220.061103817:03
73T. ToffoliC101-230.23200016:53
11B. GallagherR112030.4341010015:58
27A. RomanovD000-130.04100—15:15
94C. PerryR011+150.44010—14:40
90T. TatarL011+210.08110—14:28
41P. ByronL000000.12410—11:49
61X. OuelletD000-120.14110—11:20
40J. ArmiaR000020.19000—10:12
71J. EvansC000000.001006709:45
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(O)30264.8672.44-1.5660:03

Season series

WPG leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).