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Winnipeg Jets at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV SN, TVAS·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 10:13 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 25, MTL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathieu Perreault (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrew Copp (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (19 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Perreault1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Copp1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck19 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0531327525
MTLMTL060805019

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:13
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(17)PPG
    N. Pionk (23), A. Copp (19)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    16:57
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    19:31

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    7:17
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27
    5-0
    10:42

Penalties

WPG 13 PIM·MTL 27 PIM

1st

  • 0:51MTLJoel Edmundson · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 1:45WPGPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 0:46MTLShea Weber · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 3:19WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 13:40WPGPaul Stastny · Hookingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 15:44MTLJonathan Drouin · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 16:40WPGPaul Stastny · Cross checkingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
  • 16:40MTLShea Weber · Cross checkingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min
  • 16:57MTLserved by J. Drouin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 6:17MTLCorey Perry · Misconduct10 min
  • 7:09MTLJoel Edmundson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 7:55MTLJake Evans · Fightingdrawn by Josh Morrissey5 min
  • 7:55WPGJosh Morrissey · Fightingdrawn by Jake Evans5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalWPG goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 10:13 — WPG 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.28J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.23C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.17P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.15C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.12J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.12J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.10P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 2.0 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMTL
2.65 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG62%38%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMTL
25
Shots on goal
19
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/5
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
27
19
Hits
35
13
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011+100.00115—22:05
3T. PoolmanD000030.18110—20:29
24D. ForbortD101+230.08010—19:57
9A. CoppC112030.571007818:53
55M. ScheifeleC011+100.00010018:49
4N. PionkD011+220.08100—18:29
2D. DeMeloD000000.00110—17:22
81K. ConnorL000+120.41010—17:14
17A. LowryC000+110.095206716:09
22M. AppletonC000+200.00100015:35
64L. StanleyD000+100.00020—15:07
27N. EhlersL112+120.07000—14:49
25P. StastnyC101+130.390065014:44
13P. DuboisC000+110.122025014:34
85M. PerreaultC112+110.30310013:15
23T. LewisC000030.23110013:07
11N. ThompsonC000000.001006312:08
12J. HarkinsC000010.10110011:31
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)191901.0001.98+1.9859:43

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).