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Jets at Oilers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 9:36 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 31, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Smith (29 saves, .935), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Smith29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG21201108231
EDMEDM111015311437

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(6)PPG
    N. Ehlers (17), P. Dubois (7)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    10:36
  2. WPG
    P. Dubois(6)
    J. Morrissey (14), K. Connor (14)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:27
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:04

3rd period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(10)
    J. Puljujarvi (5)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +26 pts
    2-2
    3:19
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(18)
    C. McDavid (39), D. Nurse (15)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:36
  3. EDM
    D. Shore(2)EN
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (15)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    18:40

Penalties

WPG 16 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:09WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 9:56EDMGaetan Haas · Holdingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

  • 14:17WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:44EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

3rd

  • 0:53EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 11:34WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 20:00WPGBlake Wheeler · Game misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 3rd 9:36 — EDM 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Shore · Goal · xG 0.41J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.25J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.25J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.23R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.18J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.17C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.17J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14G. Haas · On goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.12J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.09T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.09J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.08T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.06J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.05E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
2.22 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG27%73%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
31
Shots on goal
37
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
25
24
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000-200.02060—27:03
44J. MorrisseyD011-110.06010—23:38
24D. ForbortD000-110.05030—21:31
55M. ScheifeleC000-310.172226719:55
26B. WheelerR000-330.443212—18:23
25P. StastnyC000-210.200004418:01
2D. DeMeloD000-210.22310—17:34
81K. ConnorL011020.24010—17:31
13P. DuboisC112040.214004417:04
27N. EhlersL011070.24000—16:03
9A. CoppC101010.131208015:41
22M. AppletonC000-140.08000014:46
17A. LowryC000-110.094203313:29
3T. PoolmanD000000.01000—13:28
85M. PerreaultC000000.05310011:21
64L. StanleyD000+120.02200—11:05
23T. LewisC000020.02120010:59
11N. ThompsonC000-100.003105007:49
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)36333.9173.79+0.7958:41

Season series

EDM leads 7-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).