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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV ESPN+, SNOL·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 18:31 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.5, WPG 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 30, WPG 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 G, 1 A), 2. Mike Smith (36 saves, .973), 3. Darnell Nurse (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Smith36 saves, .973
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Nurse1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21041307630
WPGWPG012115010137

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    A. Chiasson(8)
    A. Larsson (6), L. Draisaitl (43)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:22
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(26)
    T. Barrie (33)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:31

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(27)
    D. Kahun (5), J. Puljujarvi (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:35
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(23)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (17)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    11:40
  3. EDM
    D. Nurse(14)
    J. Puljujarvi (9), C. McDavid (53)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    5-0
    13:18
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(19)PPG
    P. Stastny (15), B. Wheeler (24)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    15:06
  5. EDM
    C. McDavid(28)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    16:30

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:07EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
  • 11:03WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min

2nd

  • 13:44EDMJosh Archibald · Hookingdrawn by Kristian Vesalainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 18:31 — EDM 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.09M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.06K. Vesalainen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01
WPG1 G · 2.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
2.56 G
All situations
1 G2.5
2.36 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM50%50%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD101+440.20522—21:25
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+110.35110020:38
74E. BearD000010.01240—20:21
29L. DraisaitlC112+220.280006720:12
6A. LarssonD011+200.00210—19:26
82C. JonesD000+110.01430—19:06
22T. BarrieD011+300.00110—18:58
70D. KulikovD000+210.00400—18:23
56K. YamamotoR000+110.10200—16:44
97C. McDavidC314+470.890003816:03
71R. McLeodC000010.011006014:18
14D. ShoreC000+110.04310014:10
15J. ArchibaldR000020.24332—13:58
13J. PuljujarviR022+420.10000—13:36
18J. NealL000+110.01010—13:19
21D. KahunC011+320.07000012:43
39A. ChiassonR101+130.18010—12:05
91G. HaasC000000.001003310:57
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)37361.9732.49+1.4960:00

Season series

EDM leads 7-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).