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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 4:29 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 27, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11011017327
WPGWPG0619015130

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    T. Barrie(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    10:52

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp (22)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:29
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    2-1
    6:20

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid (56), D. Nurse (16)
    wristxG 0.96win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    19:51

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:21WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 6:08WPGBlake Wheeler · High sticking double minordrawn by Ethan Bear4 min

3rd

  • 15:13EDMKailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 4:29 — WPG 36% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.21P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.14A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
3.62 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.30 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM65%35%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
38
13
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011020.05430—26:50
22T. BarrieD112020.09020—25:02
97C. McDavidC033050.750003523:16
29L. DraisaitlC101+121.020104621:11
6A. LarssonD000+110.01500—19:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112040.34210018:10
13J. PuljujarviR000-100.00100—17:35
70D. KulikovD000-100.00300—16:53
21D. KahunC000-120.1800010016:26
74E. BearD000010.06100—15:56
56K. YamamotoR000020.61002—14:00
15J. ArchibaldR000+130.30200—13:56
14D. ShoreC000000.00110013:21
82C. JonesD000000.00120—12:48
39A. ChiassonR000000.00110—12:12
71R. McLeodC000000.001206312:07
18J. NealL000020.12200—10:32
91G. HaasC000010.040006008:37
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(W)30291.9671.90+0.9060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).