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Jets at Oilers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, TVAS·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 16:45 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 76% to 90%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.1, EDM 3.2; shots on goal were WPG 35, EDM 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Mike Smith stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11507113235
EDMEDM29110011330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(4)
    C. McDavid (22), R. Nugent-Hopkins (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:45
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(9)
    T. Ennis (4), K. Russell (2)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:06
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(8)PPG
    K. Connor (8), J. Morrissey (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:06

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(10)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (8), C. McDavid (23)
    snapxG 0.51win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    16:45

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(2)
    N. Ehlers (8), J. Morrissey (9)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    1:28

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·EDM 20 PIM

1st

  • 10:02EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 14:17EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 18:06EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 2:24WPGAdam Lowry · Interferencedrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 5:11EDMKris Russell · Boardingdrawn by Tucker Poolman2 min
  • 7:57WPGAdam Lowry · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:56WPGNathan Beaulieu · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kahun2 min
  • 19:32WPGPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min

3rd

  • 0:54EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Slashingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 2:48EDMJosh Archibald · Misconductdrawn by Adam Lowry10 min
  • 4:10WPGBlake Wheeler · Interferencedrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 16:51WPGNikolaj Ehlers · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 16:45 — EDM 76% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.51L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.17J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.10A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.10K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM3 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
3.12 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.71 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG48%52%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
35
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
20
21
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
23
9
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022030.04010—26:48
9A. CoppC000-110.102303024:14
55M. ScheifeleC101-110.600203322:57
4N. PionkD101020.09130—20:43
26B. WheelerR000-120.13102—20:34
81K. ConnorL011070.53000—19:52
24D. ForbortD000-110.03310—19:41
27N. EhlersL011+150.54102—18:29
25P. StastnyC000040.260025817:57
3T. PoolmanD000-140.09030—16:15
17A. LowryC000-120.311045615:10
2D. DeMeloD000000.01100—14:26
88N. BeaulieuD000010.02802—13:27
85M. PerreaultC000020.2910010011:38
22M. AppletonC000-100.05100011:30
23T. LewisC000000.00000007:54
12J. HarkinsC000000.00000003:59
93K. VesalainenL000000.00100—03:40
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30273.9003.21+0.2158:57

Season series

EDM leads 7-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).