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Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 6:22 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 24, EDM 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 40 of 45 (.889), 1.8 goals below expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 11 of 13 (.846), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G), 3. Alex Chiasson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    A. Chiasson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG283917624
EDMEDM11432219545

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    6:30
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    11:03
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    12:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    0:49
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    2:31
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    9:12
  4. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    12:57
  5. WPG
    N. Pionk (11), A. Lowry (6)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    14:15
  6. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    5-4
    17:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    5-5
    2:55
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +29 pts
    6-5
    6:22

Penalties

WPG 9 PIM·EDM 9 PIM

1st

  • 4:49EDMDominik Kahun · Interferencedrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 7:29WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 7:29EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 18:19EDMTyson Barrie · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 8:28WPGNeal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 15:04WPGMark Scheifele · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 3rd 6:22 — WPG 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.17D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.17J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.16J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.16A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.14A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01W. Lagesson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.2 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
1.86 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.65 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG26%74%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
45
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
17
Hits
37
15
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24D. ForbortD000030.05050—25:34
4N. PionkD022-100.00412—24:47
44J. MorrisseyD011+220.05010—23:20
55M. ScheifeleC123-120.210223620:56
9A. CoppC000+110.011206420:55
3T. PoolmanD000+210.01020—19:25
26B. WheelerR112-110.11200—18:35
81K. ConnorL112+130.45000—18:15
25P. StastnyC011+100.000004216:40
22M. AppletonC101+110.17110015:20
85M. PerreaultC101+120.27000015:19
27N. EhlersL101+150.28100—14:40
17A. LowryC011000.002055314:39
2D. DeMeloD000000.00110—11:48
88N. BeaulieuD000-110.01300—11:44
23T. LewisC000000.0810010009:56
12J. HarkinsC000-120.100005008:14
93K. VesalainenL000000.00100—07:09
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)45405.8893.23-1.7760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).