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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-4. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 5:26 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 26, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 3 A), 2. Andrew Copp (2 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Lowry (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Copp2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM3708111426
WPGWPG21109413633

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(4)PPG
    D. Nurse (3), M. Koskinen (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    1:48
  2. WPG
    A. Copp(3)PPG
    A. Lowry (2), N. Ehlers (4)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    5:14
  3. EDM
    A. Larsson(2)
    P. Russell (1), J. Khaira (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    9:13
  4. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(4)PPG
    C. McDavid (7), D. Nurse (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    3-1
    11:16
  5. WPG
    M. Perreault(1)
    A. Lowry (3), N. Ehlers (5)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    14:37

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(5)
    P. Stastny (4), A. Copp (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    3:19
  2. WPG
    P. Stastny(2)
    A. Copp (5), N. Ehlers (6)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:26
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(4)
    D. Forbort (4), N. Pionk (5)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-5
    6:46
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(5)
    D. Nurse (5), L. Draisaitl (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    4-5
    18:10
  5. WPG
    A. Copp(4)EN
    M. Scheifele (7), M. Appleton (3)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +2 pts
    4-6
    19:08

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:16WPGPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 4:38EDMDarnell Nurse · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 10:50WPGMason Appleton · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min
  • 12:34EDMAdam Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 16:27EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

2nd

  • 18:06EDMZack Kassian · Hookingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min

3rd

  • 9:43EDMLeon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 3rd 5:26 — WPG 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.50P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.28A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.26A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.26A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.22M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.14A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 3.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
1.84 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.22 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM26%74%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
2/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
5
6
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD033-330.03202—29:01
74E. BearD000-300.00120—23:47
6A. LarssonD101010.03132—20:45
29L. DraisaitlC112+120.090026720:04
97C. McDavidC112-120.101002218:38
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101030.19000018:26
4K. RussellD000-210.05100—16:55
13J. PuljujarviR000-130.22002—15:51
56K. YamamotoR000-110.15000—14:33
8K. TurrisC000-330.320003114:21
82C. JonesD000+100.00030—14:08
22T. BarrieD000010.01010—14:01
21D. KahunC000+120.03000013:34
44Z. KassianR000-120.48102—12:29
15J. ArchibaldR000-100.00410—12:24
18J. NealL000-110.112005012:01
16J. KhairaL011-100.003101811:57
52P. RussellR011010.00100—08:48
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)32275.8443.36-1.6459:13

Season series

EDM leads 7-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).