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Flames at Senators
NHL

Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, SNW·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artem Anisimov's goal at 6:22 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 28, OTT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. David Rittich stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.6 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G), 2. Matt Murray (27 saves, .964), 3. Tim Stützle (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Murray27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01216010128
OTTOTT0732227536

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. Anisimov(1)
    T. Stützle (8)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:22
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(8)
    J. Norris (9), T. Stützle (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:26
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(6)PPG
    M. Backlund (8)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:20
  4. OTT
    D. Batherson(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    11:44

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. White(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    16:19
  2. OTT
    E. Dadonov(7)
    T. Chabot (12), N. Zaitsev (8)
    deflectedxG 0.07
    1-5
    17:47

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:40OTTBraydon Coburn · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:13CGYJuuso Välimäki · Holdingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

2nd

  • 8:40OTTTim Stützle · Boardingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 4:00CGYRasmus Andersson · Boardingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 4:00OTTErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 8:03OTTColin White · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCGY goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Artem Anisimov, 2nd 6:22 — OTT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. White · Goal · xG 0.47N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.20A. Anisimov · Goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.15C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15C. White · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.13A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.10C. White · On goal · xG 0.10C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.05C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.05A. Anisimov · Missed · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.02C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.00E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsOTT
2.01 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.60 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY42%58%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
36
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
19
10
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-320.20212—22:52
55N. HanifinD000-110.08120—22:20
8C. TanevD000020.03030—21:20
13J. GaudreauL000-220.10000—21:16
19M. TkachukL000-220.24410—20:49
23S. MonahanC000-240.113005720:45
28E. LindholmC000-210.151106420:44
11M. BacklundC011-120.370006520:16
5M. GiordanoD000-260.24100—20:05
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.00110—19:47
6J. VälimäkiD000-210.03202—14:09
89N. NesterovD000-200.00300—13:44
29D. DubeC000-110.02120013:30
17M. LucicL101-220.24300—13:06
93S. BennettC000-210.062001311:01
20J. NordstromC000000.003306707:38
27J. LeivoL000-110.13000—07:06
81D. SimonC000000.002005005:38
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)35314.8862.44-1.5659:54

Season series

OTT leads 6-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).