Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
SYRTeam statsGT
- Q4 3:47GTHaynes King 4 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)16–41
- Q4 7:58SYRWill Nixon 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)16–34
- Q3 6:01GTHaynes King 2 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)10–34
- Q3 11:02GTDean Patterson 37 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)10–27
- Q3 14:19SYRR. Collins pass to D. Gill Jr. for 34 yds, for a TD (T. Woody KICK)10–20
- Q2 0:01GTAidan Birr 22 Yd Field Goal 3–20
- Q2 4:01GTJosh Beetham 13 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)3–17
- Q2 12:05GTJosh Beetham 21 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)3–10
- Q1 6:16GTAidan Birr 20 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 10:59SYRTripp Woody 27 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
- PassRickie Collins 17/29, 224 YDS, 1 TD
- RushYasin Willis 10 CAR, 76 YDS
- RecDarrell Gill Jr. 5 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
- PassHaynes King 25/31, 304 YDS, 3 TD
- RushHaynes King 12 CAR, 91 YDS, 2 TD
- RecJordan Allen 6 REC, 67 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsGT up 24 entering the 4th quarter. Across 555 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 12:05GT +15%
Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #17 J.Beetham caught at SU13, for 21 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q2 4:01GT +11%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #17 J.Beetham caught at SU11, for 13 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automat…
- Q3 11:02GT +8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #11 D.Patterson caught at SU38, for 37 yards to the SU00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under autom…
- Q3 14:19SYR +8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 R.Collins pass complete short middle to #15 D.Gill Jr. caught at GT22, for 34 yards to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q1 10:59SYR +7%
#47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD
- Q1 6:16GT +6%
#33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Syracuse vs. Georgia Tech?
Syracuse 16, Georgia Tech 41.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (GT) was correct.
| SYR | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 381 | Total yards | 543 |
| 224 | Passing yards | 304 |
| 157 | Rushing yards | 239 |
| 17 | First downs | 27 |
| 5-14 | 3rd down | 8-12 |
| 2-4 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 17/29 | Comp/Att | 25/31 |
| 7.7 | Yards per pass | 9.8 |
| 4.6 | Yards per rush | 6.5 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-55 | Penalties | 4-40 |
| 28:20 | Possession | 31:40 |
Costliest call
Q1 6:16 GT field goal on 4th & 3 at SYR 3. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:47GTHaynes King 4 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)16–41
- Q4 7:58SYRWill Nixon 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)16–34
- Q3 6:01GTHaynes King 2 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)10–34
- Q3 11:02GTDean Patterson 37 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)10–27
- Q3 14:19SYRR. Collins pass to D. Gill Jr. for 34 yds, for a TD (T. Woody KICK)10–20
- Q2 0:01GTAidan Birr 22 Yd Field Goal 3–20
- Q2 4:01GTJosh Beetham 13 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)3–17
- Q2 12:05GTJosh Beetham 21 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)3–10
- Q1 6:16GTAidan Birr 20 Yd Field Goal 3–3
- Q1 10:59SYRTripp Woody 27 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (GT Elo 1611, SYR Elo 1402 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects GT -10.8 (77% to win) — 6.7 points clear of SYR's market line of -17.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| SYR | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| -20.9 (#127) | CORE overall | +10.6 (#38) |
| -14 / +7 | offense / defense | +13 / +3 |
| 1.12 | points / drive | 2.86 |
| 2.89 | allowed / drive | 2.39 |
| 32% | three-and-outs | 22% |
| -2 | pass over expected | -1 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →