@ Pittsburgh · Wk 3Win prob 24%Model +11.1Schedule & Results
CALCaliforniaL18-21✓Wk 3@PITTPittsburgh+11.124%Wk 5@
CONNUConn+0.250%Wk 6@
UVAVirginia+26.04%Wk 7vs
LOULouisville+9.427%Wk 8@
UNCNorth Carolina-3.559%Wk 9vs
SMUSMU+13.619%Wk 10vs
CLEMClemson+10.526%Wk 11@
NCSUNC State+10.626%Wk 12@
BCBoston College-0.652%Wk 13vs
NDNotre Dame+22.97%ACC Standings
Standings →
Team Leaders
Steven AngeliPassing569 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
Tylik HillRushing146 yds · 1 TD · 8.6 avg
Umari HatcherReceiving14 rec · 224 yds · 2 TD
Chris D'AppoloniaTackles15 tackles · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
Latest on Syracuse
All news →California can stop the pass, not the run
Umari Hatcher went for 147 receiving yards for Syracuse
Roster · 112 players
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Steve Angeli | QB | SR | 6'3" | 212 | Westfield, NJ |
| 10 | Zaid Lott | QB | FR | 6'4" | 220 | Kannapolis, NC |
| 12 | Amari Odom | QB | JR | 6'4" | 205 | Inglewood, CA |
| 13 | Joseph Filardi | QB | SO | 6'1" | 195 | Dix Hills, NY |
| 16 | Malachi Nelson | QB | JR | 6'3" | 193 | Los Alamitos, CA |
| 17 | Rich Belin | QB | SO | 6'0" | 195 | Harlem, NY |
| 21 | Danny Lauter | QB | JR | 6'3" | 220 | Greenwich, CT |
| 3 | Davion Kerr | RB | SO | 6'1" | 190 | Bloomfield, CT |
| 4 | Ju'Juan Johnson | RB | JR | 6'0" | 210 | Lafayette, LA |
| 20 | Tylik Hill | RB | SO | 5'9" | 205 | Asbury Park, NJ |
| 22 | Ahmad Miller | RB | JR | 6'0" | 207 | Memphis, TN |
| 23 | Shavane Anderson Jr. | RB | FR | 6'1" | 200 | York, PA |
| 28 | Malachi Coleman | RB | FR | 5'10" | 190 | Roanoke, VA |
| 2 | Umari Hatcher | WR | SR | 6'3" | 185 | Woodbridge, VA |
| 5 | Calvin Russell III | WR | FR | 6'5" | 195 | Opa Locka, FL |
| 7 | Darien Williams | WR | SO | 6'0" | 185 | Syracuse, NY |
| 8 | Tyshawn Russell | WR | JR | 5'11" | 195 | Harrisburg, PA |
| 11 | Cole Weaver | WR | JR | 6'3" | 220 | Roswell, GA |
| 13 | Matthew Outten | WR | FR | 6'1" | 215 | Portsmouth, VA |
| 14 | Zamondre Merriweather | WR | JR | 6'3" | 210 | Valencia, CA |
| 15 | Amare' Gough | WR | FR | 6'1" | 185 | Richmond, VA |
| 17 | Elijah Moore | WR | SO | 6'4" | 204 | Oxon Hill, MD |
| 18 | Phoenix Henriquez | WR | FR | 6'2" | 195 | Smyrna, DE |
| 83 | Julian McFadden | WR | FR | 5'11" | 190 | Conshohocken, PA |
| 85 | BJ Garrett | WR | FR | 6'3" | 190 | Bear, DE |
| 86 | Justus Ross-Simmons | WR | SR | 6'3" | 210 | Rochester, NY |
| 87 | Nate Edwards | WR | SO | 6'4" | 180 | Syosset, NY |
| 88 | Terrell Wilfong | WR | FR | 6'6" | 185 | West Orange, NJ |
| 0 | David Clement | TE | SR | 6'6" | 260 | Albany, NY |
| 19 | Daunte Bacheyie | TE | SO | 6'5" | 210 | Sylvan Beach, NY |
| 80 | Carter Bashir | TE | FR | 6'5" | 255 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 81 | Noah Meyers | TE | JR | 6'5" | 240 | Louisville, KY |
| 84 | Elijah Washington-Baker | TE | SO | 6'7" | 245 | Norfolk, VA |
| 87 | Wyatt Bowman | TE | FR | 6'5" | 235 | Bethesda, MD |
| 50 | Kahlil Stewart | OL | FR | 6'4" | 330 | Norristown, PA |
| 53 | Ted Olsen | OL | JR | 6'2" | 285 | Palos Verdes Estates, CA |
| 55 | Zach Rice | OL | SR | 6'5" | 320 | Lynchburg, VA |
| 57 | Javeion Cooper | OL | FR | 6'5" | 285 | Melbourne, FL |
| 58 | David Ndukwe | OL | SR | 6'6" | 325 | Decatur, GA |
| 60 | Naquil Betrand | OL | JR | 6'6" | 320 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 61 | Joseph White | OL | FR | 6'5" | 260 | Camden, NJ |
| 62 | Jackson Iak | OL | FR | 6'4" | 300 | Pawling, NY |
| 63 | Brayden Charney | OL | FR | 6'6" | 290 | Palm Beach Gardens, FL |
| 64 | Skylar Harvey | OL | FR | 6'7" | 330 | Baltimore, MD |
| 65 | Adam Boeheim | OL | SO | 6'4" | 285 | — |
| 66 | Shemaj Henry | OL | FR | 6'8" | 320 | Chester, PA |
| 67 | D'Joni Scatliffe | OL | FR | 6'7" | 315 | Orlando, FL |
| 69 | Oluwafunto Akinshilo | OL | SR | 6'5" | 325 | Lagos |
| 70 | Kardiear Shepherd | OL | FR | 6'7" | 310 | Syracuse, NY |
| 71 | Jayden Mann | OL | FR | 6'4" | 315 | Brooklyn, NY |
| 73 | Vito Shevchenko | OL | SO | 6'7" | 310 | Vancouver, BC |
| 74 | Matthew Hawn | OL | FR | 6'6" | 310 | Syracuse, NY |
| 75 | Trevion Mack | OL | JR | 6'6" | 320 | Mounds View, MN |
| 76 | Byron Washington | OL | SO | 6'7" | 400 | Desoto, TX |
| 77 | Kam Pringle | OL | SO | 6'8" | 335 | Dorchester, SC |
| 78 | Joe Cruz | OL | SR | 6'5" | 315 | Holbrook, NY |
| 79 | Travis Brown-Miller | OL | SO | 6'6" | 330 | Teaneck, NJ |
| 11 | Nissi Ogbebor | DL | SO | 6'6" | 300 | Ottawa, ON |
| 15 | Nathan Nyandoro | DL | SO | 6'6" | 270 | Montreal, PQ |
| 16 | Jarius Rodgers | DL | FR | 6'4" | 225 | Fleming Island, FL |
| 17 | Kamron Wilson | DL | FR | 6'5" | 227 | Naranja, FL |
| 30 | Tunmise Adeleye | DL | SR | 6'4" | 275 | Katy, TX |
| 45 | Clark Calloway | DL | SO | 6'4" | 280 | — |
| 77 | Jaylen Pray | DL | FR | 6'6" | 290 | Bronx, NY |
| 88 | Elijah Crawford | DL | FR | 6'4" | 285 | Perry Hall, MD |
| 90 | Kordae Houston | DL | FR | 6'4" | 285 | Dallas, TX |
| 92 | Rashard Perry | DL | SR | 6'3" | 295 | Buffalo, NY |
| 93 | Alex Haskell | DL | FR | 6'4" | 275 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 94 | Walt Frazier Jr. | DL | FR | 6'3" | 305 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 95 | Dillan Fontus | DL | SR | 6'6" | 292 | Arverne, NY |
| 98 | Jartavius Flounoy | DL | SO | 6'1" | 325 | Moultrie, GA |
| 99 | Isaiah Hastings | DL | SR | 6'4" | 310 | Toronto, ON |
| 2 | Zyian Moultrie-Goddard | LB | JR | 6'0" | 230 | Bronx, NY |
| 5 | Antoine Deslauriers | LB | SO | 6'1" | 235 | Montreal, PQ |
| 6 | Chris D'Appolonia | LB | JR | 6'3" | 240 | Cranberry Township, PA |
| 10 | Gary Bryant III | LB | SR | 6'1" | 228 | Baltimore, MD |
| 14 | Keyshawn Johnson | LB | SR | 6'3" | 230 | Belle Glade, FL |
| 18 | David Omopariola | LB | JR | 6'3" | 260 | Baltimore, MD |
| 23 | Trey Dudley | LB | FR | 6'1" | 230 | Ashburn, VA |
| 33 | Gemaus Sackie | LB | FR | 6'0" | 210 | Burlington, NJ |
| 42 | Maurice Medley | LB | FR | 6'3" | 205 | Severn, MD |
| 43 | Garvin St. John | LB | SO | 6'0" | 235 | — |
| 49 | Josh Kubala | LB | SR | 6'2" | 230 | Syracuse, NY |
| 82 | Jamie Tremble | LB | JR | 6'4" | 222 | Johns Creek, GA |
| 12 | Darius Johnson | CB | FR | 5'10" | 180 | Watkinsville, GA |
| 0 | Braheem Long Jr. | DB | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Camden, NJ |
| 1 | Demetres Samuel Jr. | DB | SO | 6'1" | 195 | Palm Bay, FL |
| 3 | Davien Kerr | DB | JR | 6'1" | 190 | — |
| 4 | Chase Geter | DB | FR | 6'1" | 190 | Ashburn, VA |
| 7 | Nazir Ward | DB | JR | 6'0" | 185 | Miami, FL |
| 8 | Tedarius Hughes | DB | FR | 6'3" | 180 | Miami, FL |
| 9 | Jai Eugene Jr. | DB | JR | 6'1" | 202 | Destrehan, LA |
| 12 | Chris Peal | DB | JR | 6'1" | 200 | Charlotte, NC |
| 13 | Amare Snowden | DB | JR | 6'4" | 210 | Roseville, MI |
| 19 | Cornell Perry | DB | SR | 6'1" | 190 | Brownstown, MI |
| 20 | Rayshon Andrews | DB | FR | 6'4" | 195 | Bristol, CT |
| 22 | Ziyyon Bredell | DB | FR | 6'0" | 185 | Philadelphia, PA |
| 24 | Ibn-Wadu Muhammad | DB | FR | 5'11" | 196 | Woodbury, NJ |
| 25 | Cam Hairston-Taylor | DB | FR | 6'0" | 180 | Roanoke, VA |
| 26 | Darnell Stokes Jr. | DB | FR | 6'2" | 185 | Seaford, DE |
| 27 | Javon Lawrence | DB | FR | 6'1" | 180 | Spring Valley, NY |
| 29 | Terrance Johnson | DB | FR | 6'2" | 170 | Hollywood, FL |
| 31 | Marcus Washington Jr. | DB | SR | 6'1" | 200 | Grovetown, GA |
| 34 | Nate Prater | DB | SR | 5'9" | 180 | Franklin, TN |
| 38 | James Trotter | DB | FR | 6'0" | 185 | New Orleans, LA |
| 39 | Bradley Chandler | DB | FR | 5'10" | 180 | Plantation, FL |
| 40 | Shay Barker | PK | FR | 6'2" | 190 | Landenberg, PA |
| 47 | Tripp Woody | PK | SO | 5'9" | 190 | Waxhaw, NC |
| 41 | Jimmy Gregg | P | FR | 6'1" | 195 | Morgantown, WV |
| 46 | Mateja Pavlovich | P | FR | 6'2" | 220 | Hookstown, PA |
| 21 | Fran Brown Jr. | LS | JR | 5'11" | 220 | Medford, NJ |
| 37 | Tim Schwerha | LS | FR | 6'1" | 210 | Pittsburgh, PA |
Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Scouting Report · 2026 projection
Syracuse is in year 3 under Fran Brown. The way in is 128th at keeping a clean pocket, and they are 125th at running it.
Syracuse has played 2 games against an average slate, adjusted for here. That football carries about 0% of what is below; the rest is still the preseason projection.
Projected soft spots
- Offensesacks and tackles for loss#128projected
- Offenserunning it#125projected
- Offensethrowing it#124projected
Each bar is where this team sits in the country. Before the season has produced enough football these are PROJECTIONS — last season regressed to the mean, plus talent, returning production, recruiting and whether the staff is the same one — and the season replaces them as it is played. Head coaches only — there is no free feed for coordinators, so on a program where the head coach does not call the offense this describes the staff he hired. Play-calling identity is a style, not a grade: throwing more than the situations warrant is not better than throwing less than they warrant.
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to playHow the season could finish · 2026 · chance of each final win total · 10 games left
Every remaining game simulated from the model's win probability for it. Tallest bar is the single likeliest finish, not a prediction that it happens.
Player Value
EPA contribution by position group + estimated NIL market value (derived from position rates and on-field production — not actual deal figures).
Total EPA produced by each positional group this season. OL value is captured via the rush/pass efficiency of skill players; OL-specific EPA isn't separately reported.
Estimated from position-group market rates and on-field EPA contribution. Actual NIL valuations depend on social media following, brand fit, and market negotiations — these figures are directional only.
The Five Factors
ranked vs. FBS · bar = betterOpponent-adjusted efficiency
EPA/play vs. schedulePass vs. rush (PPA)
Trenches & disruption
- Line yards (off)
- 3.20#50
- 2nd-level / open-field
- 1.38 / 1.91
- Power / stuff (off)
- 100.0% / 15.1%
- Havoc — total (def)
- 20.3%#32
- Havoc — front 7 / DB
- 16.3% / 4.1%
Standard vs. passing downs
ProPPA on each down type (off vs. def).
Opponent-adjusted by down
Pro| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.02#96 | 0.26#61 | 0.36#99 |
| Defense | -0.24#23 | 0.04#50 | 0.03#14 |
Elo Trajectory
Team Fingerprint · 2026 · 46 opponent-adjusted metrics · percentile vs 138 FBS teams
Plot these →Efficiency
- Offense EPA/play0.1429th
- Defense EPA/play allowed-0.1693rd
- Offense success rate42%40th
- Defense success rate allowed31%82nd
Downs
- Offense success — standard downs45%30th
- Offense success — passing downs37%71st
- Defense success allowed — standard downs39%66th
- Defense success allowed — passing downs19%84th
Explosiveness
- Offense explosiveness1.477th
- Defense explosiveness allowed1.0091st
- Offense explosiveness — standard downs1.050th
- Offense explosiveness — passing downs2.269th
Trenches
- Offense line yards2.933rd
- Defense line yards allowed1.990th
- Offense highlight yards1.565th
- Defense highlight yards allowed0.9538th
- Offense power success0.9491st
- Defense power success allowed0.7543rd
- Offense stuff rate0.1842nd
- Defense stuff rate0.2882nd
Third down
- Third down conversion57%89th
- Third down distance faced7.233rd
- Third down conversion allowed30%74th
- Third down distance forced7.764th
Halves
- Net success rate — first half0.1364th
- Net success rate — second half0.1366th
Drives
- Points per drive1.223rd
- Points per drive allowed1.379th
- Average starting field position2735th
- Opponent starting field position3135th
- Available yards gained51%54th
- Available yards allowed42%72nd
- Scoring opportunities per drive55%7th
- Scoring opportunities allowed64%93rd
- Points per scoring opportunity3.368th
- Points allowed per opportunity2.078th
- Three-and-out rate18%74th
- Three-and-outs forced18%33rd
CORE
- CORE offense-11.41st
- CORE defense-5.076th
- CORE overall-6.420th
Roster
- Returning usage29%33rd
- Returning EPA80.141st
- Team talent composite74675th
- Recruiting class rank35.075th
- Recruiting class points22575th
Every metric is opponent-adjusted and ranked so that higher is always better — a defensive rate that is good when low is ranked accordingly. Sack and tackle-for-loss composition are deliberately absent: their relationship to team quality is a measured null, so they carry a style rather than a rank, and they appear in the pressure signature instead.
Intelligence Report
Offensive DNA
Rush efficiency edge: 0.068 EPA/play
Defensive Identity
Disruption comes primarily from the front seven.
Season Signature
1-1 record through 2 games.
Team Shape · percentile vs. FBS · dashed = 50th
Each axis = national percentile rank. 100th = best in FBS, 0th = worst. Defense and Havoc are oriented so higher = better.
CORE efficiency · situation and opponent removed
Points per 100 plays above average, after the game state is regressed out of every snap and the schedule is solved out across the whole league. The version of this team’s efficiency that can be compared to a team it never played.
What a possession is worth · 11 drives
Play-calling identity
Against what the league calls from the same down, distance, field position, score and clock — so this is the staff, not the game script.
- Pass rate
- 61.0%
- Expected, given the spots
- 51.9%
- Over expected
- +9.1
- Fourth down vs peers
- +5
- Fourth down vs the model
- +0
National Landscape · 2026 FBS · offense vs. defense EPA/play
Each dot = one FBS team. Syracuse is highlighted. Tap or hover a dot for details.
Similar Programs
Teams with the closest offense + defense efficiency profile to Syracuse in 2026
Similarity = normalized Euclidean distance on season offensive and defensive EPA/play. Teams within ±0.02 EPA/play on both units score >90%.
Program Trajectory · CORE rating · 2015–2026 · points per game vs an average FBS team
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 50% | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 25% | 2.8 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 5-3 | 77% | 6.1 | +3.9 |
| 2023 | 6-7 | 2-6 | 46% | 6.1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 54% | 6.2 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 42% | 6.6 | -1.6 |
| 2020 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 9% | 1.4 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 42% | 4.4 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 10.5 | -0.5 |
| 2017 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 5.1 | -1.1 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).
0-1 so far, projected to finish 4.0-8.0.
If they finish with…
Their chance of making it at each final loss count.
down 0.7 points since preseason.
- At 3 losses they are 1.9% where the average ACC team is 3.5%.
- The ACC takes 1.57 bids in an average season, and four or more in 0.8%.
Syracuse’s own turning points
Points of playoff probability between winning and losing.
- wk6at Virginia0.6
- wk3at Pittsburgh0.5
- wk9vs SMU0.4
- wk7vs Louisville0.4
- wk8at North Carolina0.4
- wk11at NC State0.3
Who to root for
Games Syracuse is not in that move its odds most. Same units, much smaller scale.
- wk9UAB over South Florida0.1
- wk5Middle Tennessee over Kansas0.1
- wk7South Florida over Kent State0.1
- wk3Rutgers over USC0.1
- wk7Sacramento State over Ohio0.1
- wk3Iowa State over Bowling Green0.1
ACC
0-1 in league play, projected 2.2-6.816 of 17 by title oddsThe ACC sends its top two by conference winning percentage, head-to-head breaking a tie. The last berth is level on percentage in 38% of simulated seasons, so a tiebreaker decides it about that often.
Points of title probability riding on each result. The whole ACC race →
If not the playoff, then
Syracuse is 1-1 and needs 5 more wins from 10 games to reach the six that make a team eligible — at most one of which may come against an FCS opponent. In 1.2% of seasons they get there and still go nowhere: there are more eligible teams than seats.
- Fenway Bowl3.4%
- Military Bowl3.1%
- Pinstripe Bowl2.2%
- Birmingham Bowl2.1%
- Pop-Tarts Bowl1.6%
- Sun Bowl1.2%
Recruiting Pipelines
since 2010Of the 170 high-school programs with a pipeline page here, 7 have sent Syracuse a player since 2010 — 20 signees between them. Where they signed, not where they were offered, and not a complete list of Syracuse's feeder schools: only these 170 have the outcome history to measure.