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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Stankoven's goal at 15:12 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were MTL 24, CAR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.6 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Frederik Andersen (23 saves, .958), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G, 2 A), 3. Logan Stankoven (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    F. Andersen23 saves, .958
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Stankoven1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0401119124
CARCAR3152916630

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:17
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:12
  3. CAR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    16:52

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.31win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    7:19
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    18:02

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.21Video
    1-5
    10:50
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.65Video
    1-6
    16:19

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:28CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 9:17MTLserved by Z. Bolduc · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 12:59CARAndrei Svechnikov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min

2nd

  • 0:46MTLNick Suzuki · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 3:41CARAlexander Nikishin · High stickingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 10:56MTLLane Hutson · High stickingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:25MTLserved by A. Texier · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 7:12CARNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 9:43CARShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 17:23MTLserved by J. Veleno · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Stankoven, 1st 15:12 — CAR 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.65J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.31J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.30J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.17L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.17S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.13J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.13L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.08J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.04E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
2.51 G
All situations
5 G4.4
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL36%64%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/5
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
18
3
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD011-120.02002—21:59
8M. MathesonD000-220.07000—21:41
14N. SuzukiC000-230.480124121:04
53N. DobsonD000-220.04010—20:37
45A. CarrierD000-310.07100—19:13
15A. NewhookC000-210.340006718:43
13C. CaufieldR101-230.38000—18:19
93I. DemidovR000-210.29000—18:19
20J. SlafkovskýL000-210.21100—18:05
71J. EvansC000020.100004017:28
21K. GuhleD000-200.00210—16:39
24P. DanaultC000-320.040006715:46
17J. AndersonR000-230.45300—13:42
76Z. BolducR000000.00200—12:28
47J. StrubleD000010.02100—11:12
77K. DachC000000.001005010:23
85A. TexierL000000.00000—10:04
90J. VelenoC000-100.000008006:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)29245.8283.42-1.5858:22

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).