Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 16:07 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 6.3 to 1.0; shots on goal were CAR 44, MTL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 96% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 A), 3. K'Andre Miller (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-014:59
2-016:07
3-017:46
3rd period
4-018:06
Penalties
1st
- 5:54
Kirby Dach · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
- 10:06
Jalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
- 12:48
Taylor Hall · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
- 14:18
Zachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
2nd
- 12:24
Mike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
- 12:40
Phillip Danault · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
- 18:08
Josh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
3rd
- 14:34
Josh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
- 19:43
Kaiden Guhle · Misconduct10 min
- 19:43
Mark Jankowski · Misconduct10 min
- 19:43
Jayden Struble · Misconduct10 min
- 19:43
Eric Robinson · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jordan Staal, 1st 16:07 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 6.33 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.0
- 4.12 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.0
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.81 – 1.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 44
- Shots on goal
- 18
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/6
- Power play
- 0/2
- 24
- Penalty minutes
- 32
- 30
- Hits
- 30
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 15
- Giveaways
- 18
- 7
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
CAR leads 4-1
6@
2Final
2@
3OTFinal
3@
2OTFinal
4@
0this game
1@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















