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Hurricanes at Canadiens
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 16:07 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 6.3 to 1.0; shots on goal were CAR 44, MTL 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 96% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 A), 3. K'Andre Miller (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    K. Miller1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR312012120444
MTLMTL0501003018

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(4)PPG
    snapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:59
  2. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:07
  3. CAR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:46

3rd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.86Video
    4-0
    18:06

Penalties

CAR 24 PIM·MTL 32 PIM

1st

  • 5:54MTLKirby Dach · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Nikishin2 min
  • 10:06CARJalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 12:48CARTaylor Hall · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 14:18MTLZachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

2nd

  • 12:24MTLMike Matheson · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 12:40MTLPhillip Danault · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 18:08MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 14:34MTLJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:43MTLKaiden Guhle · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:43CARMark Jankowski · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:43MTLJayden Struble · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:43CAREric Robinson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCAR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 1st 16:07 — CAR 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.06I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL0 G · 1.0 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMTL
6.33 G
All situations
0 G1.0
4.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR96%4%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.81 – 1.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMTL
44
Shots on goal
18
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/6
Power play
0/2
24
Penalty minutes
32
30
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
23
15
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+220.02140—24:41
26S. WalkerD000+320.02400—20:40
20S. AhoC101+120.170005820:20
74J. SlavinD000010.03010—19:41
5J. ChatfieldD011+120.07022—18:44
24S. JarvisR000+130.44100—17:34
37A. SvechnikovR101+161.10400—17:18
27N. EhlersL022+110.93120—17:05
53J. BlakeR011+140.93110—16:46
11J. StaalC101+110.255005516:21
4S. GostisbehereD022010.24130—16:08
71T. HallL000030.47012—15:33
48J. MartinookL000+110.35120—15:21
22L. StankovenC101+170.581005014:16
21A. NikishinD000000.05500—12:41
28W. CarrierL000+150.40300—11:27
50E. RobinsonL000010.112010—10:43
77M. JankowskiL000020.1802103310:41
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)181801.0001.05+1.0560:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).