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Hurricanes at Canadiens
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Montréal Canadiens
2
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Andrei Svechnikov scoring at 14:06. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 14:06 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 39, MTL 13. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 11 of 13 (.846); Jakub Dobes stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho, 2. Mike Matheson (1 G), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Hall1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR2160100716339
MTLMTL15160101213

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(1)
    M. Jankowski (4), E. Robinson (3)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:24
  2. MTL
    M. Matheson(2)
    I. Demidov (6), J. Evans (8)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:28
  3. CAR
    T. Hall(4)
    K. Miller (7), J. Blake (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:22

2nd period

  1. MTL
    L. Hutson(3)PPG
    C. Caufield (7), J. Dobes (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:43

Overtime

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(2)
    S. Jarvis (4)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +52 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:06

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·MTL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:46CARJalen Chatfield · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 19:00MTLKaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 4:18CARJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 12:42MTLKaiden Guhle · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 18:09MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min
  • 18:09CARSean Walker · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min

3rd

  • 10:21MTLNoah Dobson · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCAR goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, OT 14:06 — CAR 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.26L. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.22J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.15P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.13A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.8 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMTL
4.43 G
All situations
2 G1.8
3.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR85%15%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.18 – 1.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMTL
39
Shots on goal
13
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
37
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
33
18
Giveaways
21
13
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19K. MillerD011+150.42220—30:07
26S. WalkerD000+130.15342—27:26
74J. SlavinD000+130.35140—24:38
5J. ChatfieldD000+110.10022—22:54
27N. EhlersL000-120.29000—22:48
53J. BlakeR011+130.28110—22:25
20S. AhoC000+120.171105621:49
37A. SvechnikovR101+150.58300—21:25
24S. JarvisR011+110.23010—20:56
4S. GostisbehereD101020.50000—20:56
71T. HallL101+171.15220—20:06
22L. StankovenC000+110.060104220:03
11J. StaalC000-110.056005018:36
48J. MartinookL000-100.00502—17:33
21A. NikishinD000030.09000—16:45
77M. JankowskiL011+100.002006313:17
50E. RobinsonL011+100.02300—12:52
28W. CarrierL000+100.008005011:37
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)13112.8461.78-0.2273:58

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).