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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-2. The Hurricanes scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexandre Texier's goal at 8:11 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were MTL 22, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    P. Danault1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL4130326622
CARCAR11411202228

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:33
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:00
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:04
  4. MTL
    snapxG 0.26win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:11
  5. MTL
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:32

2nd period

  1. CAR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    2:46

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    7:05
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.89Video
    6-2
    17:32

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:55CARSean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 3:55MTLNick Suzuki · Embellishment2 min
  • 11:39MTLAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 12:06CARSebastian Aho · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min

2nd

  • 19:13CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 19:13MTLMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

3rd

  • 3:56CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 12:06MTLKaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Alexandre Texier, 1st 8:11 — MTL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.22A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.15J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.14E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.11J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.11J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
3.75 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.75 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL49%51%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
22
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
44
29
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000010.02050—22:36
53N. DobsonD000010.06030—22:35
8M. MathesonD000+110.11122—21:04
45A. CarrierD011+400.00132—19:14
21K. GuhleD011+100.00122—18:48
14N. SuzukiC033+240.402125018:30
15A. NewhookC011000.002103317:45
71J. EvansC011+100.181205017:06
20J. SlafkovskýL213+341.36110—16:41
24P. DanaultC112+220.233405315:49
13C. CaufieldR112+210.26000—15:19
17J. AndersonR000+200.05100—14:36
85A. TexierL101+120.30000—14:23
47J. StrubleD000+210.00130—14:10
93I. DemidovR101030.34210—12:16
76Z. BolducR000-110.14110—11:30
77K. DachC000-110.09100010:39
91O. KapanenC000000.110007508:59
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)28262.9292.85+0.8560:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).