Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-2. The Hurricanes scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexandre Texier's goal at 8:11 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were MTL 22, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Juraj Slafkovský (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Slafkovský2 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Danault1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-10:33
1-11:00
2-14:04
3-18:11
4-111:32
2nd period
4-22:46
3rd period
5-27:05
6-217:32
Penalties
1st
- 3:55
Sean Walker · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
- 3:55
Nick Suzuki · Embellishment2 min
- 11:39
Alexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
- 12:06
Sebastian Aho · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
2nd
- 19:13
Andrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
- 19:13
Mike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
3rd
- 3:56
Jordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
- 12:06
Kaiden Guhle · Interferencedrawn by Jackson Blake2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexandre Texier, 1st 8:11 — 59% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.75 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.9
- 2.75 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 18
- Hits
- 44
- 29
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 12
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
CAR leads 4-1
6@
2this game
2@
3OTFinal
3@
2OTFinal
4@
0Final
1@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















