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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Nikolaj Ehlers scoring at 3:29. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 3:29 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were MTL 12, CAR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Frederik Andersen stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 2. Eric Robinson (1 G), 3. Jalen Chatfield (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    E. Robinson1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL12031700212
CARCAR17180912326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(2)
    W. Carrier (2), M. Jankowski (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:33
  2. MTL
    J. Anderson(4)
    P. Danault (7), K. Guhle (8)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:11

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(3)
    J. Slavin (2), J. Chatfield (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:03

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Anderson(5)
    A. Carrier (6), P. Danault (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:51

Overtime

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(4)
    M. Jankowski (3), J. Chatfield (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:29

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:33CARLogan Stankoven · Interferencedrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 16:36MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 18:16CARAndrei Svechnikov · Boardingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 11:08MTLJakub Dobes · Interferencedrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 20:00MTLAlexandre Texier · Slashingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, OT 3:29 — CAR 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.21A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL28%72%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
12
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
46
19
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD000-100.00130—24:52
53N. DobsonD000-200.15110—24:34
45A. CarrierD011+210.17240—22:14
8M. MathesonD000-210.04130—20:50
71J. EvansC000+110.090106019:47
14N. SuzukiC000-120.153005019:45
21K. GuhleD011+200.00000—19:23
15A. NewhookC000010.07000019:15
20J. SlafkovskýL000-110.03010—18:51
13C. CaufieldR000-110.01000—17:53
93I. DemidovR000010.00000—15:42
17J. AndersonR202+220.30010—14:33
24P. DanaultC022+200.122205014:33
85A. TexierL000+110.15212—13:01
76Z. BolducR000-200.12100—12:53
47J. StrubleD000-100.00312—11:56
77K. DachC000-200.05010011:22
91O. KapanenC000-200.000008010:01
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)26233.8852.59-0.4163:29

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).