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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 8:30 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 56% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 21, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Dorofeyev (2 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. Granlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Hart31 saves, .969

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK390923521
ANAANA04113015132

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    between-legsxG 0.46win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:02
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(8)SHG
    slapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:30
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:19

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:46

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-1
    2:52
  2. VGK
    5-1
    13:32

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:31VGKCole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 11:00ANAMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 17:14ANAAlex Killorn · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

2nd

  • 5:52VGKWilliam Karlsson · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 11:59VGKNic Dowd · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:27VGKNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 15:27ANAJacob Trouba · Embellishment2 min

3rd

  • 7:14VGKNoah Hanifin · Slashingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 17:47VGKCarter Hart · Goalie removed own mask2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 1st 8:30 — VGK 56% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.21J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.15J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.15J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.13L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.11M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Washe · On goal · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.00B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.8 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.55 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.03 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK49%51%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
21
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011+110.03000—26:04
15N. HanifinD011+120.13112—25:55
27S. TheodoreD112+310.05020—24:38
9J. EichelC000+240.190103720:25
52D. CoghlanD000+320.06420—19:30
93M. MarnerR112+210.63100—18:11
71W. KarlssonC011+100.130025917:32
49I. BarbashevL011+200.0040010017:01
16P. DorofeyevR202+230.41000—16:43
21B. HowdenC101+230.5020010016:13
26N. DowdC000010.803345614:58
17B. HuttonD000010.01010—12:27
10C. SissonsC000000.141103311:26
55K. KolesarR000000.0030010010:54
22C. SmithR000000.00212—10:44
6K. KorczakD000000.01110—10:26
48T. HertlC011010.181006009:05
20B. SaadL000010.13100—07:01
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)32311.9692.83+1.8360:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).