Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 15:02 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.0, VGK 3.1; shots on goal were ANA 34, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G), 3. Brett Howden (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Hart33 saves, .971

- ★★I. Barbashev1 G

- ★★★B. Howden1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-13:14
3rd period
1-113:57
1-215:02
1-319:54
Penalties
1st
- 1:02
Rasmus Andersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 9:46
Jeffrey Viel · Cross checkingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
2nd
- 0:22
Colton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
- 11:26
William Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
3rd
- 2:31
Keegan Kolesar · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
- 8:47
Alex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
- 8:47
Cole Smith · Embellishment2 min
- 10:59
John Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
- 20:00
Jeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
- 20:00
Ben Hutton · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 3rd 15:02 — 52% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.90 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.56
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 37
- Hits
- 26
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 17
- Giveaways
- 23
- 2
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
VGK leads 4-2
1@
3this game
3@
1Final
6@
2Final
3@
4Final
2@
3OTFinal
5@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















