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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ESPN, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 15:02 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.0, VGK 3.1; shots on goal were ANA 34, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (33 saves, .971), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G), 3. Brett Howden (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Hart33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. Howden1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA011010113134
VGKVGK061828322

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:14

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.23win prob +35 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:57
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.23win prob +38 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:02
  3. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:54

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·VGK 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:02VGKRasmus Andersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:46ANAJeffrey Viel · Cross checkingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:22VGKColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 11:26VGKWilliam Karlsson · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

3rd

  • 2:31VGKKeegan Kolesar · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 8:47ANAAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 8:47VGKCole Smith · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:59ANAJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 20:00ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 20:00VGKBen Hutton · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 3rd 15:02 — VGK 52% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.49N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.24I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.23K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.22T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.17R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
3.01 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA56%44%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
34
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
37
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
16
17
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-120.14100—28:07
74J. CarlsonD011020.04122—24:43
64M. GranlundC101020.272203622:17
65J. TroubaD000-140.05520—22:08
91L. CarlssonC000-240.660005821:03
19T. TerryR000-240.32000—20:54
98P. MintyukovD000-110.09100—18:49
20C. KreiderL000-210.20200—18:31
17A. KillornL000000.04002—17:27
45B. SenneckeR000+120.09000—16:45
61C. GauthierL000-120.302006714:04
28J. VielL000020.08804—13:06
42T. WasheC000000.116106912:15
3I. MooreD000030.17500—09:51
25R. PoehlingC000-120.181004409:38
23M. McTavishC000-120.081103309:09
60T. HindsD000000.02120—08:45
14D. HellesonD000010.13100—08:18
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)21192.9052.62+0.6258:10

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).