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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Pavel Dorofeyev scoring at 4:10. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Dorofeyev's goal at 4:10 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.9 to 2.8; shots on goal were ANA 36, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Dorofeyev (2 G), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Hart34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA1901711000236
VGKVGK1110611015332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(5)PPG
    C. Gauthier (7), M. McTavish (4)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:36
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(6)PPG
    T. Hertl (3), J. Eichel (13)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:13

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(2)
    B. Saad (1), R. Andersson (2)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:48
  2. ANA
    O. Zellweger(1)
    C. Gauthier (8), M. McTavish (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:55

Overtime

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(7)
    J. Eichel (14)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:10

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·VGK 15 PIM

1st

  • 9:00VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Poehling5 min
  • 9:00VGKBrayden McNabb · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:39ANAPavel Mintyukov · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Dorofeyev, OT 4:10 — VGK 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.36P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.34N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.22I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.19M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.18W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.18I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.17R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.15M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.11T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.9 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.9
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA32%68%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 3.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
36
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
29
8
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-110.09000—30:47
74J. CarlsonD000030.16220—26:16
65J. TroubaD000010.01400—25:49
45B. SenneckeR101040.5330010024:13
64M. GranlundC000000.110005022:36
17A. KillornL000030.05110—22:24
61C. GauthierL022040.342103320:05
91L. CarlssonC000-120.300103819:09
42T. WasheC000010.044105516:52
51O. ZellwegerD101010.08000—16:33
20C. KreiderL000-100.00100—14:51
23M. McTavishC022060.553002514:31
19T. TerryR000-120.09000—14:17
98P. MintyukovD000040.03012—14:12
28J. VielL000+120.2430010013:39
44R. JohnstonL000-100.00200—10:50
3I. MooreD000-100.00110—09:52
25R. PoehlingC000020.17000002:20
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)32293.9063.93+0.9364:10

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).