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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 17:58 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 57% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were VGK 21, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.7 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Killorn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cutter Gauthier (3 A), 3. Ian Moore (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    I. Moore1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK151719321
ANAANA291915423

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(4)PPG
    A. Killorn (5), C. Gauthier (4)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:43
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(5)PPG
    M. Marner (8), J. Eichel (11)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:22
  3. ANA
    M. Granlund(4)
    J. Viel (2)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:25

2nd period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(7)
    W. Karlsson (2), M. Marner (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:04
  2. ANA
    A. Killorn(4)PPG
    C. Gauthier (5), B. Sennecke (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    I. Moore(1)
    C. Gauthier (6), O. Zellweger (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    3:43
  2. VGK
    T. Hertl(1)
    M. Marner (10), J. Eichel (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:56

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:21VGKDylan Coghlan · Interferencedrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 9:15ANARoss Johnston · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 16:25VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

2nd

  • 16:43VGKCole Smith · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 20:00ANABeckett Sennecke · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

3rd

  • 9:22VGKRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 14:36ANAJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 2nd 17:58 — ANA 57% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.17B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.15J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.14L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.14M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.11T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.10M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.08M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.05R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · Goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
1.83 G
All situations
4 G2.3
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK40%60%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
21
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000+130.14020—24:50
93M. MarnerR033+120.33000—24:08
15N. HanifinD000-210.03120—22:56
9J. EichelC022+100.161006322:10
4R. AnderssonD000-200.00012—19:09
71W. KarlssonC011+220.140004718:47
16P. DorofeyevR101+140.26000—18:32
3B. McNabbD000020.07122—17:05
21B. HowdenC101+110.164005016:43
52D. CoghlanD000+100.00102—15:43
49I. BarbashevL000030.08320—15:12
17B. HuttonD000+100.00020—14:56
26N. DowdC000-210.092002914:46
48T. HertlC101+110.151006013:09
10C. SissonsC000010.1342010010:57
22C. SmithR000-100.00212—10:55
55K. KolesarR000-100.00600—08:22
20B. SaadL000-100.06100—07:20
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)23194.8262.28-1.7257:43

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).