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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Beckett Sennecke's goal at 11:23 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 28, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leo Carlsson (1 G), 2. Lukas Dostal (21 saves, .955), 3. Mark Stone (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0131728328
VGKVGK0301118122

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.24win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:23

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:36
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:30
  3. VGK
    M. Stone(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.12Video
    3-1
    19:54

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:14VGKTomas Hertl · High stickingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 5:10VGKMitch Marner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:33VGKJack Eichel · High sticking double minordrawn by Mikael Granlund4 min
  • 10:06ANATim Washe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min

2nd

  • 2:34ANAJeffrey Viel · High stickingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 18:00VGKKeegan Kolesar · Hookingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 11:37ANARyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 19:45ANARoss Johnston · High stickingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke, 2nd 11:23 — ANA 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.21C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.18W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.12B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.06R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.03I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK1 G · 2.0 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
3.12 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA61%39%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
22
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
39
Hits
39
14
Blocked shots
19
15
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+120.07310—24:53
2J. LaCombeD000+200.06000—22:23
65J. TroubaD000+220.04530—22:18
91L. CarlssonC101+140.490101721:03
19T. TerryR011+120.38210—20:18
98P. MintyukovD000+120.17020—19:55
20C. KreiderL011+120.12310—19:46
17A. KillornL000030.12210—19:27
64M. GranlundC000020.291106217:07
61C. GauthierL000040.33210—16:42
25R. PoehlingC011+100.002123314:14
42T. WasheC000+100.004023813:55
60T. HindsD000010.04200—12:31
45B. SenneckeR101+110.26000—11:03
14D. HellesonD000000.05200—10:27
24J. HarkinsC101+110.52400009:44
28J. VielL011+100.004025009:15
44R. JohnstonL000+120.13312—08:50
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)22211.9552.03+1.0360:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).