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Avalanche at Wild
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Grand Casino Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinn Hughes's goal at 16:44 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 69% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.0 to 3.2; shots on goal were COL 36, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 12 of 13 (.923); Jesper Wallstedt stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Quinn Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesper Wallstedt (35 saves, .972).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    Q. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Wallstedt35 saves, .972

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL09113014136
MINMIN2102818526

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(4)
    B. Faber (4), Q. Hughes (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:11
  2. MIN
    Q. Hughes(4)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (6), K. Kaprizov (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:44

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(3)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (7), K. Kaprizov (10)
    batxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:23
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(5)PPG
    G. Landeskog (5), N. Kadri (4)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:11
  3. MIN
    B. Faber(4)
    V. Tarasenko (2), M. McCarron (2)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:31

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(7)EN
    B. Faber (5)
    wristxG 0.45Video
    1-5
    19:56

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:09MINBrock Faber · High stickingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:54COLParker Kelly · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 14:54MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 15:52COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 17:42MINQuinn Hughes · Cross checkingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

2nd

  • 3:39COLParker Kelly · Holdingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 12:16MINMarcus Foligno · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:33COLNathan MacKinnon · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCOL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Quinn Hughes, 1st 16:44 — MIN 69% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.54M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.45K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.36B. Faber · Goal · xG 0.20K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.20D. Yurov · Missed · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.10Q. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.09D. Yurov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMIN
3.21 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.40 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
1.81 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL59%41%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.12 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMIN
36
Shots on goal
26
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/3
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
39
8
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-230.54020—29:06
88M. NecasC000-130.30200024:52
29N. MacKinnonC101-140.451023623:51
7D. ToewsD000-110.08002—22:34
91N. KadriC011-130.171108021:07
92G. LandeskogL011070.665005020:40
11B. NelsonC000-230.300106519:52
70S. MalinskiD000-120.06110—18:56
27B. KulakD000-110.02020—17:25
84B. BurnsD000010.03100—15:48
62A. LehkonenL000-100.25110—15:30
13V. NichushkinR000-110.02100—13:25
10N. RoyC000010.014006712:39
17P. KellyC000-140.2110410008:54
18J. DruryC000-110.0510010008:47
20R. ColtonC000010.00200008:08
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.07400—08:06
37N. BlankenburgD000000.00000—07:54
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood13121.9231.39+0.3932:27
41S. Wedgewood(L)1293.7501.22-1.7824:23

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).