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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicolas Roy's goal at 1:24 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 31, COL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Scott Wedgewood (29 saves, .935), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN110010111231
COLCOL271927523

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(1)
    N. MacKinnon (5), B. Kulak (2)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:51
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(3)
    R. Hartman (4), M. Zuccarello (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:57
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(3)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (6), M. Necas (6)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:24

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. Roy(3)
    R. Colton (2), B. Nelson (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:24

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)PPG
    N. Kadri (3), G. Landeskog (4)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    13:18
  2. MIN
    M. Johansson(3)
    D. Yurov (2), D. Hunt (1)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:33
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(1)EN
    B. Kulak (3), B. Burns (1)
    wristxG 0.42Video
    2-5
    19:55

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:09MINYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 13:16COLBrock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 10:52MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Nick Blankenburg2 min

3rd

  • 4:20COLBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 7:26MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 11:49MINVladimir Tarasenko · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:34MINKirill Kaprizov · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nicolas Roy, 2nd 1:24 — COL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.42G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.24D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
3.42 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
1.70 G
Power play
2 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN65%35%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
31
Shots on goal
23
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
28
13
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-120.08140—28:31
43Q. HughesD000-100.05000—28:07
97K. KaprizovL101-140.61312—23:12
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.12110—19:56
12M. BoldyL000-110.382003019:53
36M. ZuccarelloR011-130.2010210019:04
38R. HartmanR011-151.082124318:21
5J. MiddletonD000-110.00220—18:09
47M. McCarronC000020.123204015:48
48D. HuntD011+110.01100—13:04
13Y. TreninC000000.00512012:57
78N. SturmC000000.003003312:43
17M. FolignoL000010.02300—12:24
90M. JohanssonL101040.27000—12:20
91V. TarasenkoR000020.17102—11:25
22D. YurovR011020.270002510:04
71N. FolignoL000000.00200—09:42
2J. PetryD000+110.00110—09:28
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)22184.8182.41-1.5957:08

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).