Skip to content
Canadiens at Sabres
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
Final/OTTV ESPN, CBC·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2 in overtime, Alex Newhook scoring at 11:22. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 11:22 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were MTL 25, BUF 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 37 of 39 (.949), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Alex Newhook (1 G), 2. Jakub Dobes (37 saves, .949), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    A. Newhook1 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes37 saves, .949
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL211070413325
BUFBUF0911411006239

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    P. Danault(1)
    K. Guhle (6), A. Texier (4)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:30
  2. MTL
    Z. Bolduc(3)PPG
    N. Suzuki (9), L. Hutson (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    14:29

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Greenway(2)
    M. Samuelsson (4), B. Malenstyn (2)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:19

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin(4)
    O. Power (6), R. McLeod (4)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:27

Overtime

  1. MTL
    A. Newhook(7)
    A. Carrier (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +52 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:22

Penalties

MTL 2 PIM·BUF 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:34BUFZach Benson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:34MTLPhillip Danault · High stickingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalMTL goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, OT 11:22 — MTL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.34J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.27J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.25T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.24J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.20J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.20R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.11J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.11J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.10J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.10R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09K. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.09K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.09K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.07K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.07B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.07J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06O. Power · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.06J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.06B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.05B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.05J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Goal · xG 0.04J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.03J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.02P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Helenius · Missed · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samuelsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 4.4 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsBUF
3.13 G
All situations
2 G4.4
2.92 G
Even strength
2 G4.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL31%69%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 4.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsBUF
25
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
21
22
Blocked shots
11
22
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+110.01020—31:28
48L. HutsonD011-110.06030—31:17
14N. SuzukiC011010.172205029:30
45A. CarrierD011010.00150—27:03
53N. DobsonD000-110.03010—26:30
20J. SlafkovskýL000030.19100—23:07
21K. GuhleD011010.01340—22:52
71J. EvansC000+100.001005022:33
93I. DemidovR000+100.12300—22:19
13C. CaufieldR000050.69310—21:16
15A. NewhookC101+120.45300019:52
85A. TexierL011000.22100—17:51
24P. DanaultC101-120.190125417:16
17J. AndersonR000030.45210—17:10
76Z. BolducR101-120.31310—09:11
77K. DachC000-110.13410008:58
91O. KapanenC000010.040003304:45
72A. XhekajD000+100.02100—01:52
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)39372.9494.35+2.3571:22

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).