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Sabres at Canadiens
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸6
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Sabres scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Bolduc's goal at 10:43 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 5.3 to 3.4; shots on goal were BUF 28, MTL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 0.6 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lane Hutson (2 A), 2. Alex Newhook (2 G), 3. Jakub Dobes (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    L. Hutson2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Newhook2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF18110010228
MTLMTL11431527636

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(3)
    R. Dahlin (4)
    slapxG 0.32win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:53
  2. MTL
    A. Newhook(4)
    J. Evans (3)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:31

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(2)PPG
    L. Hutson (6), I. Demidov (3)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:05
  2. MTL
    Z. Bolduc(2)
    J. Veleno (1), A. Carrier (2)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:43
  3. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(4)PPG
    L. Hutson (7), C. Caufield (4)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:17
  4. BUF
    R. Dahlin(2)PPG
    T. Thompson (6), J. Doan (5)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:46

3rd period

  1. MTL
    K. Dach(4)
    A. Texier (3), P. Danault (3)
    slapxG 0.33win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-5
    8:46
  2. MTL
    A. Newhook(5)
    N. Suzuki (6), J. Evans (4)
    xG 0.91Video
    2-6
    15:14

Penalties

BUF 42 PIM·MTL 38 PIM

1st

  • 7:42BUFJosh Norris · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 11:47MTLAlex Newhook · Roughingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 11:47BUFJosh Doan · Roughingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 18:44MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Alex Lyon2 min
  • 18:44MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Conor Timmins2 min
  • 18:44BUFConor Timmins · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 20:00BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 4:43BUFJosh Doan · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 11:32BUFBeck Malenstyn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jakub Dobes2 min
  • 11:32BUFJordan Greenway · Roughingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 11:32MTLZachary Bolduc · Roughingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 14:30MTLKirby Dach · Holding the stickdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 17:47BUFAlex Tuch · High stickingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min

3rd

  • 4:22MTLLane Hutson · Interferencedrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 12:13MTLKaiden Guhle · High stickingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 17:13BUFLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 17:13MTLKaiden Guhle · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 17:13BUFZach Benson · Slashingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 17:13BUFZach Benson · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:13BUFLogan Stanley · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:13MTLZachary Bolduc · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:13MTLKaiden Guhle · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00BUFSam Carrick · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 20:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Zachary Bolduc, 2nd 10:43 — MTL 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.91K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.33C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.26Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.24J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.19J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.19C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.18C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.16P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.16K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.15J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.14A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.12I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.11A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.10A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.09A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.08K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.08P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.02J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.00J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.00A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 5.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
3.42 G
All situations
6 G5.3
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.91 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF34%66%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 4.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
28
Shots on goal
36
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/4
Power play
2/6
42
Penalty minutes
38
21
Hits
25
15
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD000010.11520—23:05
26R. DahlinD112-230.21102—23:04
72T. ThompsonC112-230.580204521:06
4B. ByramD000-220.18010—20:32
89A. TuchR000-240.68612—20:06
25O. PowerD000000.00000—19:42
6Z. BensonL000-130.421112—18:07
21C. TimminsD000-100.00012—17:22
19P. KrebsC000-110.272003316:53
91J. DoanR011040.26204—15:32
22J. QuinnR000-210.17000—15:28
71R. McLeodC000-120.080104613:51
9J. NorrisC000020.332122513:45
12J. GreenwayL000000.001123813:31
29B. MalenstynL000000.02122—12:15
64L. StanleyD000-100.000212—11:51
17J. ZuckerL000-100.03000—06:47
10S. CarrickC000020.030022506:17
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)36315.8614.43-0.5758:39

Series

MTL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).