Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 19:15 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 26, UTA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brett Howden (1 G), 3. Carter Hart (22 saves, .957).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-015:02
2nd period
2-019:15
3rd period
2-17:41
3-19:39
4-112:09
5-116:24
Penalties
1st
- 4:27
Ivan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 19:58
Alexander Kerfoot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Carter Hart2 min
2nd
- 4:01
Mark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
3rd
- 11:54
Logan Cooley · High stickingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
- 17:41
Rasmus Andersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mitch Marner, 2nd 19:15 — 71% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.64 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.5
- 2.73 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.0
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.50
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 32
- Hits
- 38
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 12
- Giveaways
- 20
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Series
VGK leads 4-2
2@
4Final
3@
2Final
2@
4Final
5@
4OTFinal
4@
5OTFinal
5@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















