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Mammoth at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ESPN2, Utah16·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Cooley's goal at 14:00 of the third period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were UTA 29, VGK 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Carter Hart stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Cooley (1 G), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    L. Cooley1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA16113110329
VGKVGK1101407221

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:42
  2. UTA
    Unassisted
    xG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:59

2nd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.16win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:56
  2. VGK
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:58

3rd period

  1. UTA
    wristxG 0.25win prob +39 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:00

Penalties

UTA 14 PIM·VGK 14 PIM

1st

  • 7:48VGKCole Smith · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 11:01UTALogan Cooley · Interferencedrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 13:54UTAIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 15:18VGKMark Stone · Roughingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 15:18UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 17:33UTABrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 17:33VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 19:25UTAIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

2nd

  • 2:27VGKNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 6:27UTAMichael Carcone · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kaedan Korczak2 min
  • 6:27VGKJeremy Lauzon · Hookingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 7:49VGKJack Eichel · Holdingdrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 12:32UTAserved by J. Peterka · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:58VGKRasmus Andersson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalUTA goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Logan Cooley, 3rd 14:00 — UTA 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.20P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.13S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVGK
3.63 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.70 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA75%25%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.48 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
21
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
1/4
14
Penalty minutes
14
39
Hits
33
17
Blocked shots
15
17
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+210.07240—25:02
52M. WeegarD101+120.18400—22:14
92L. CooleyC101+230.653124721:39
8N. SchmaltzC000+130.530207021:19
6J. MarinoD000000.00020—19:24
11D. GuentherR112+250.62220—19:01
88N. SchmidtD000+110.01110—18:08
9C. KellerR000+110.12210—17:34
67L. CrouseL000050.70312—17:01
15A. KerfootC000-110.192003816:13
77J. PeterkaR000-130.17300—15:31
50S. DurziD000010.03000—15:08
82K. StenlundC000010.011104513:54
28I. ColeD000000.01204—12:07
53M. CarconeL000010.0530210012:04
56K. YamamotoR022+200.2130010010:15
38L. O'BrienC000000.00520006:54
13B. TanevL000010.00302—06:21
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)21192.9052.02+0.0259:30

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).