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Mammoth at Golden Knights
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV ESPN, Utah16·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2. The Mammoth scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Mammoth led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 7:20 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were UTA 33, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Nic Dowd (1 G), 2. Colton Sissons (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carter Hart (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    N. Dowd1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Sissons1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Hart31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA111111011233
VGKVGK09110312431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(1)
    N. Schmidt (1), L. Crouse (1)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:49

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Sissons(1)
    C. Smith (1), B. McNabb (1)
    pokexG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:44
  2. UTA
    K. Stenlund(1)
    S. Durzi (1), I. Cole (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:07

3rd period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(1)PPG
    T. Hertl (1), M. Marner (1)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:33
  2. VGK
    N. Dowd(1)
    N. Hanifin (1), C. Sissons (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:20
  3. VGK
    I. Barbashev(1)EN
    N. Hanifin (2)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +4 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:21

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:55VGKJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 11:55UTABrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 16:32VGKRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 16:32UTASean Durzi · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:32VGKBrett Howden · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

3rd

  • 3:45UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:55VGKKeegan Kolesar · Roughingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 13:55UTAKailer Yamamoto · Roughingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalUTA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, 3rd 7:20 — VGK 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.48M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.37C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.25T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.19C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.13R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsVGK
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA37%63%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.91 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsVGK
33
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/1
8
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
51
19
Blocked shots
17
20
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-210.14010—24:28
88N. SchmidtD011+120.06130—20:50
52M. WeegarD000-120.06040—20:49
92L. CooleyC101+150.584002919:59
9C. KellerR000-320.08110—19:49
11D. GuentherR000-140.44000—18:58
8N. SchmaltzC000-330.140003718:56
6J. MarinoD000+120.02040—18:56
67L. CrouseL011-220.02910—17:39
28I. ColeD011000.00130—16:13
15A. KerfootC000+110.042026415:24
50S. DurziD011010.02012—15:04
77J. PeterkaR000+110.09000—13:47
56K. YamamotoR000010.13302—13:34
82K. StenlundC101+140.041005512:24
53M. CarconeL000+120.034005011:34
22J. McBainC000000.003005009:06
13B. TanevL000000.03212—08:03
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)30273.9002.67-0.3358:38

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).