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Golden Knights at Mammoth
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Mammoth

Final/OTTV ESPN, Utah16·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4 in overtime, Shea Theodore scoring at 19:08. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Theodore's goal at 19:08 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 36, UTA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 31 of 36 (.861). Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (1 G), 2. Brett Howden (2 G, 1 A), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    B. Howden2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    C. Keller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK2811011018536
UTAUTA032112809431

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:12
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(1)SHG
    wristxG 0.36win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:38

2nd period

  1. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:26
  2. UTA
    snapxG 0.32win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:04
  3. UTA
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:33

3rd period

  1. UTA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:45
  2. UTA
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-4
    5:10
  3. VGK
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +31 ptsVideo
    4-4
    10:25

Overtime

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.11win prob +52 ptsVideo
    5-4
    19:08

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:00VGKColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 16:44VGKCole Smith · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

2nd

  • 3:44UTALogan Cooley · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 9:14VGKCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 16:14UTAserved by K. Yamamoto · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:39UTAJJ Peterka · High stickingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

OT

  • 2:28UTAKevin Stenlund · Slashingdrawn by Kaedan Korczak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalVGK goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Shea Theodore, OT 19:08 — VGK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.32D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.18M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.16L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.12D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.10D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.10N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.09L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.09D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.08D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.07M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.00C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsUTA
4.55 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.94 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK74%26%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.43 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsUTA
36
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
41
Hits
57
22
Blocked shots
21
22
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD101-130.29040—33:52
9J. EichelC033+360.311004829:22
15N. HanifinD022+210.01110—29:04
4R. AnderssonD000+200.01120—27:39
3B. McNabbD000030.05500—27:38
61M. StoneR000-140.66010—26:26
93M. MarnerR011-120.211104324:10
49I. BarbashevL011+200.46630—23:05
21B. HowdenC213+130.6720010021:54
26N. DowdC000040.460104619:36
5J. LauzonD000010.04330—19:03
16P. DorofeyevR101040.71000—18:07
19R. SmithR000-210.10100—17:38
22C. SmithR101+120.15924—17:11
10C. SissonsC011+100.041126716:48
6K. KorczakD000-100.15320—15:55
48T. HertlC000-110.103005711:39
55K. KolesarR000-110.10410—10:33
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)31274.8712.85-1.1579:08

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).